NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	76		Excitement	8.4 [155]		MVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): +19.0%
Miami Heat	81		Comeback	5.8 [245]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -54.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Eddie Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.06	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	13	45%	-0.10	4	-0.16	7	71%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.54	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.51,-0.54	-0.12	-0.41	0.01	25	36%	-0.43	1	-0.12	5	60%	-0.19

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	9	68%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	19	52%	0.08	2	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	13	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.19
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	9	50%	-0.05	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	7	0%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	26.5	15.4	24.2	2.5	34.2	130.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +53.4%

CHH -20.5%

MIA +3.4%

MIA +4.9%

MIA +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIA	NBA	CHH	MIA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.5	84.4	89.0	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		99.7	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.6		96.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.0	14.7	20.4	16.2	16.1
MIA	16.0	14.7	16.6	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-10	15	16.9	15.5	1.50	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.07	0	-5	5	17.9	15.7	2.20	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Otis Thorpe	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	15.8	16.4	-0.63	14.4	16.8	-2.34
Jamal Mashburn	79	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	15.6	20.0	-4.44	15.5	17.9	-2.44
Eddie Robinson	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-5	5	17.6	15.0	2.51	16.0	15.5	0.53
P.J. Brown	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-4	3	16.4	15.8	0.63	16.8	14.4	2.34
Baron Davis	73	74	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.9	14.9	0.96
David Wesley	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	7	-19	15.9	16.6	-0.65	15.9	15.4	0.51
Elden Campbell	51	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	15.5	16.9	-1.50	16.4	14.8	1.58

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	54	51	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.64	3	2	1	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.7	17.9	-3.26
Dan Majerle	62	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-4	13	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Brian Grant	68	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-3	11	15.4	16.7	-1.36	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Tim Hardaway	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	16.0	14.7	1.31	15.4	18.3	-2.85
Anthony Mason	83	83	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	0	5	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.5	10.9	5.69
Bruce Bowen	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	-3	11	15.9	15.5	0.42	17.9	13.8	4.14
Cedric Ceballos	21	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	5	-5	14.9	16.0	-1.07	17.1	15.8	1.33
A.C. Green	11	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	12	-19	15.5	15.8	-0.31	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Anthony Carter	37	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	15	-25	14.9	16.3	-1.36	16.6	15.8	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	93.0%
DET 91, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,1	92.2%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	91.5%