NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	9.9 [74]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +34.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	5.4 [91]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -30.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.34	0.29	0.08	0.03	22	80%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.01	14	77%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	0.02	29	37%	-0.14	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Mike Bibby	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.00	12	17%	-0.16	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.20	0.00	3	80%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	66%	0.20	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.10
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.07	-0.14	0.03	16	77%	0.19	6	-0.29	12	83%	0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	0.05	0.01	11	44%	0.04	5	-0.16	10	100%	0.27
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.11	0.02	15	60%	0.02	3	-0.15	10	80%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	13	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.6	24.4	15.8	25.8	1.7	43.4	135.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -29.4%

LAC +71.5%

LAC +42.8%

SAC -35.5%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.5	105.9	112.0	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.3	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	14.8	14.7	14.8	14.7
LAC	12.3	15.8	15.3	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	42	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.00	5	-10	15	14.6	14.7	-0.08	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Keon Clark	20	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	15.5	14.4	1.11	13.7	14.1	-0.35
Vlade Divac	80	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-14	23	15.0	13.4	1.56	14.7	10.9	3.76
Damon Jones	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	16.6	14.1	2.52	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Mike Bibby	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-3	1	14.1	16.6	-2.52	14.3	12.9	1.44
Hedo Turkoglu	38	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	7	-19	15.1	14.4	0.71	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Doug Christie	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	1	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.80	14.3	13.6	0.63
Chris Webber	90	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.5	-0.99	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Peja Stojakovic	77	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	3	-11	14.3	15.9	-1.59	13.6	15.3	-1.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	27	30	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-8	21	13.4	14.2	-0.80	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Andre Miller	86	88	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	13.7	15.9	-2.25	14.8	14.0	0.76
Elton Brand	96	98	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-3	11	13.8	17.5	-3.66	14.6	15.7	-1.03
Corey Maggette	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-5	15	13.6	14.4	-0.82	14.7	14.6	0.18
Lamar Odom	86	89	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	5	-5	14.3	12.1	2.15	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Sean Rooks	15	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	13.1	14.1	-1.01	15.6	14.5	1.09
Michael Olowokandi	79	78	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	17	-29	15.0	10.1	4.93	14.7	14.5	0.24
Marko Jaric	19	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	14.1	14.0	0.08	15.5	14.5	0.97
Keyon Dooling	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	15.9	13.7	2.25	14.0	14.8	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,1	93.8%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	93.2%
DET 81, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	93.2%