NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	8.6 [130]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +46.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	5.0 [77]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -36.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.46	-0.01	0.49	0.01	35	55%	0.66	5	-0.19	10	80%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cory Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Amaechi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	10	64%	0.09	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	2	78%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.09	0.00	8	72%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.07	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.08
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.27	-0.08	0.00	11	26%	-0.25	4	-0.09	12	42%	-0.11
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.29,-0.34,-0.35,-0.36,-0.4,-0.36	-0.36	-0.18	-0.17	0.02	31	51%	-0.06	10	-0.30	11	73%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	271.9	2.6	33.5	19.8	31.2	2.6	45.2	406.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +120.6%

PHI -41.1%

PHI -36.5%

ORL +7.3%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	15.5	95.0	95.0	100.9
season	14.6	15.7		101.6	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	13.2	14.6	14.6	13.8
PHI	14.7	16.2	16.7	12.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	34	33	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.04	24	-23	47	12.8	14.4	-1.62	15.8	14.3	1.54
Tracy McGrady	94	92	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	-2	5	13.9	12.7	1.21	14.6	17.6	-3.05
Mike Miller	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	13.7	14.4	-0.71	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Pat Garrity	34	39	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.67	-6	7	-13	15.3	13.1	2.23	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Darrell Armstrong	83	83	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	-2	5	13.9	13.8	0.08	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Cory Alexander	19	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	3	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.97	16.7	14.4	2.27
Bo Outlaw	55	52	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	-7	15	13.3	14.5	-1.13	15.0	14.6	0.42
Monty Williams	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	2	-3	15.2	13.5	1.68	15.6	14.6	0.96
John Amaechi	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	4	-7	14.7	13.7	0.94	16.9	14.6	2.35
Andrew DeClercq	25	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	6	-11	14.0	13.8	0.16	15.3	14.6	0.65
Don Reid	49	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.34	-18	19	-37	13.7	14.0	-0.25	13.8	15.7	-1.84

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	58	60	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-11	21	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.6	12.7	1.99
Rodney Buford	9	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.18	-3	2	-5	14.4	14.9	-0.41	13.7	13.9	-0.16
Matt Geiger	38	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-8	15	15.0	14.7	0.29	14.5	13.4	1.06
Todd MacCulloch	9	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-1	1	15.6	14.7	0.81	11.2	14.1	-2.93
Aaron McKie	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	0	-1	17.2	14.0	3.26	12.2	14.4	-2.27
Dikembe Mutombo	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.27	-12	11	-23	14.9	14.8	0.07	13.8	13.9	-0.05
Eric Snow	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-6	11	14.3	16.6	-2.27	14.0	13.4	0.61
Jumaine Jones	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-6	11	14.2	15.2	-1.02	14.2	13.6	0.68
Allen Iverson	89	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-4	7	14.6	16.5	-1.84	13.9	13.4	0.49
Tyrone Hill	87	87	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.80	3	-4	7	14.9	14.4	0.50	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Kevin Ollie	16	14	-1.18	0.68	-1.85	-0.53	-22	21	-43	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.3	13.9	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
DAL 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0	93.5%
NJN 95, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.5%