NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	3.1 [1126]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +10.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.0 [627]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -8.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.05	23	52%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	87%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	73%	0.13	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	28	45%	-0.01	4	-0.04	6	67%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.4	15.6	24.2	2.5	24.5	121.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +57.6%

PHI -3.0%

SAC +0.1%

PHI -5.8%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.5	109.9	85.9	100.9
season	14.4	15.7		103.1	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.9	17.7	13.9	18.8	15.5
PHI	18.1	14.2	16.0	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	57	58	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-2	25	13.6	18.5	-4.87	16.4	15.3	1.15
Doug Christie	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.14	23	-2	25	15.0	17.2	-2.24	16.2	15.3	0.89
Chris Webber	77	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-1	23	15.4	15.9	-0.56	16.6	13.1	3.48
Peja Stojakovic	81	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	1	19	14.9	19.6	-4.66	16.1	14.9	1.26
Scot Pollard	54	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	11	-1	17.4	12.7	4.68	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Vlade Divac	43	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	13	-5	13.7	17.0	-3.28	16.1	15.9	0.22
Art Long	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.7	15.6	-2.82	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Lawrence Funderburke	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.7	15.6	-2.82	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Darrick Martin	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	12.7	15.6	-2.82	14.0	16.1	-2.14
Hedo Turkoglu	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	23	-25	18.8	14.1	4.70	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Bobby Jackson	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	25	-29	18.5	13.6	4.87	15.2	16.5	-1.36

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	14.0	16.1	-2.14	12.7	15.6	-2.82
Kevin Ollie	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	13.5	16.3	-2.76	15.9	15.4	0.44
Jumaine Jones	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-19	17	15.1	16.3	-1.18	17.7	14.8	2.88
Rodney Buford	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-16	11	15.0	16.4	-1.40	16.9	15.0	1.86
Matt Geiger	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-14	7	13.7	17.6	-3.83	14.9	15.8	-0.98
Aaron McKie	52	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-21	21	14.3	18.2	-3.90	15.7	15.2	0.51
George Lynch	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-9	-3	16.0	16.0	0.03	14.8	17.8	-3.00
Dikembe Mutombo	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-7	-7	17.6	13.7	3.83	15.8	14.9	0.98
Eric Snow	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-5	-11	17.1	13.4	3.65	15.8	14.4	1.45
Tyrone Hill	48	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.18	-23	2	-25	17.9	14.0	3.92	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	-1	-19	16.0	16.0	0.03	15.2	16.7	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BKN 114, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
POR 86, NJN 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%