NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	5.5 [689]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +23.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	1.7 [481]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (CLE): -16.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	10	90%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	86%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	16	56%	0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	8	60%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	66%	0.14	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	45%	-0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	22%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	7	41%	-0.03	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	27.9	15.0	25.1	1.7	25.0	121.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +64.5%

CLE -9.9%

CLE -0.6%

CLE -9.0%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.5	102.1	92.6	100.9
season	14.6	15.3		101.6	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	12.1	16.2	16.5	15.0
CLE	15.6	15.1	15.1	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	14.9	15.2	-0.27	16.1	11.8	4.34
Darrell Armstrong	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-4	18	14.7	15.2	-0.53	16.3	14.8	1.51
Andrew DeClercq	32	33	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	2	6	16.3	14.3	2.07	16.2	15.1	1.13
John Amaechi	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	0	10	15.0	15.0	-0.01	15.9	15.0	0.91
Michael Doleac	40	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	7	-4	14.1	15.6	-1.46	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Monty Williams	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	11	-12	15.5	14.4	1.08	14.5	16.5	-2.02
Mike Miller	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	4	2	14.9	15.1	-0.14	16.1	14.4	1.77
Cory Alexander	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	14	-18	15.2	14.7	0.53	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Pat Garrity	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Don Reid	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	5	0	12.8	15.8	-3.06	14.5	15.9	-1.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.30	14	-24	38	13.9	16.6	-2.67	15.7	14.5	1.16
Robert Traylor	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.3	15.8	-8.45	22.5	14.6	7.86
Trajan Langdon	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	13.0	15.5	-2.54	21.0	14.8	6.16
Bimbo Coles	38	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-14	18	14.9	15.9	-0.95	13.6	16.0	-2.36
Chris Gatling	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-14	18	14.8	16.0	-1.21	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Wesley Person	56	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-10	10	14.8	16.6	-1.75	15.5	14.2	1.28
Jim Jackson	39	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	16.2	15.0	1.23	13.8	15.7	-1.94
Chris Mihm	66	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.2	16.2	-1.00	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Andre Miller	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	4	-18	15.9	14.9	0.95	16.0	13.6	2.36
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	5	-20	16.4	11.0	5.44	15.1	14.3	0.85
Matt Harpring	54	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.14	-26	16	-42	16.9	13.6	3.24	14.6	15.6	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, POR 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.6%
MIA 108, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.6%