NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	9.1 [93]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +38.5%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	5.4 [165]		LVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): -33.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.05	-0.06	-0.05	15	66%	0.18	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	18	49%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.06
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.12	-0.00	13	64%	0.08	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	18	30%	-0.29	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.39	0.39	0.05	0.31	-0.02	18	57%	0.39	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Popeye Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
David Vanterpool	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.10	0.00	17	62%	0.07	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	17	52%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	7	36%	-0.08	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	13	43%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	30.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	36.5	139.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -0.1%

WAS +20.2%

WAS +19.7%

WAS +12.9%

NJN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.5	108.6	115.1	100.9
season	15.5	15.2		97.8	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	15.4	17.0	16.5	16.0
WAS	15.9	12.3	16.5	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	50	50	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-13	20	16.0	16.0	-0.03	16.7	12.8	3.90
Sherman Douglas	34	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-7	8	17.4	15.3	2.08	15.5	14.6	0.94
Aaron Williams	30	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-4	2	17.2	15.5	1.77	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Soumaila Samake	7	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	15.9	16.0	-0.19	11.7	15.2	-3.49
Keith Van Horn	74	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-6	6	15.7	17.4	-1.75	15.4	12.9	2.41
Johnny Newman	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	16.1	15.6	0.57	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Kenyon Martin	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	15.8	17.4	-1.62	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Stephon Marbury	71	71	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.56	-8	2	-10	15.0	19.5	-4.54	14.6	16.0	-1.33
Stephen Jackson	48	46	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.35	-17	11	-28	16.8	15.2	1.57	13.5	16.3	-2.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	78	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-12	30	14.4	17.8	-3.42	16.5	13.2	3.32
Hubert Davis	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	1	4	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Richard Hamilton	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	4	-2	15.6	12.9	2.65	15.3	18.4	-3.05
Mitch Richmond	71	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	15.1	14.3	0.87	16.2	15.5	0.66
Jahidi White	46	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.49	-2	8	-10	16.7	13.2	3.57	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Popeye Jones	13	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	5	-4	11.5	15.5	-4.04	17.9	15.7	2.19
David Vanterpool	41	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	3	0	14.1	15.6	-1.50	16.2	15.9	0.33
Courtney Alexander	26	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	5	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.44	17.1	15.6	1.57
Mike Smith	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	7	-8	11.9	15.4	-3.47	17.5	15.8	1.75
Michael Smith	49	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.01	-5	11	-16	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.1	17.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.25,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.42,1	89.9%
NOP 95, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.33,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,1	89.6%
SAC 104, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.81,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,1	89.4%