inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 84 Excitement1.3 [930] MVPBaron Davis (CHH): +7.0%
Charlotte Hornets 97 Comeback1.1 [958] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -15.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.001356%0.062-0.031100%0.00
Don Reid-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.043100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Pat Garrity-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.021050%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Cory Alexander-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.06517%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
John Amaechi-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02870%0.054-0.097100%0.03
Monty Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.01175%-0.003-0.04250%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00737%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00217%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.010.012238%-0.122-0.04683%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.00-0.001664%0.082-0.01425%-0.03
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00487%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.001060%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Tim James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00375%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.031745%0.011-0.026100%0.02
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011142%-0.032-0.032100%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.01-0.041349%0.015-0.09978%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.628.315.625.11.725.8125.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +36.4%
ORL -3.8%
CHH +10.1%
CHH +10.4%
ORL -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHHNBAORLCHHNBA
this game13.916.415.588.4102.1100.9
season14.615.8101.699.7
opponent15.615.897.0100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.513.114.913.213.9
CHH14.315.117.818.916.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity43410.02-0.520.53-0.259-223113.614.2-0.5717.615.52.04
Troy Hudson1010-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-131311.614.2-2.5915.916.5-0.56
Michael Doleac3635-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-161913.214.3-1.1217.415.81.58
Cory Alexander3533-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-11912.514.7-2.1716.416.4-0.01
Andrew DeClercq2525-0.17-0.330.160.00-6-7115.013.51.4216.416.4-0.05
John Amaechi1415-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-1-1114.613.80.7712.517.1-4.67
Don Reid2324-0.23-0.270.040.12-12-1-1114.113.90.2315.216.8-1.65
Monty Williams2224-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-4-512.014.5-2.5516.016.5-0.59
Bo Outlaw4647-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-5-314.013.80.2116.516.30.26
Darrell Armstrong7070-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-9-4-514.811.53.3116.715.61.09
Mike Miller7171-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-9-4-513.814.1-0.2816.316.7-0.47
Tracy McGrady8080-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.10-10-3-714.610.44.1816.516.10.40

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley87880.57-0.070.64-0.0220-72716.317.9-1.6113.914.7-0.86
Elden Campbell66670.450.050.400.0414-11517.014.92.1115.011.33.68
P.J. Brown75760.360.140.220.06103716.416.5-0.1913.714.6-0.89
Eddie Robinson70710.300.200.100.1267-117.314.03.2614.512.02.51
Baron Davis78780.290.210.090.1849-517.013.63.3514.113.11.04
Tim James25240.200.30-0.10-0.0176114.017.3-3.2612.014.5-2.51
Otis Thorpe20190.140.36-0.220.05310-716.516.40.1914.613.70.89
Hersey Hawkins25240.140.36-0.230.08211-915.016.9-1.9013.514.0-0.50
Jamaal Magloire29280.050.45-0.400.08-114-1514.917.0-2.1111.315.0-3.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 83, CLE 1020.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
CLE 100, ORL 1110.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
PHI 87, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.7%