NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	2.6 [1178]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +7.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	73		Comeback	1.0 [927]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -10.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	93%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	15	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	59%	0.01	4	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.08	25	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	14	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	329.7	2.5	28.2	15.8	23.4	2.0	30.2	431.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.2%

SEA -1.1%

SAS +3.2%

SEA -0.9%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.5	116.1	85.9	100.9
season	15.9	15.2		103.4	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.5	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	14.6	18.4	17.9	16.3
SEA	17.4	16.7	16.7	18.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	30	-2	32	15.9	17.8	-1.95	18.0	14.1	3.99
Tim Duncan	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	8	12	15.9	17.9	-1.93	17.7	14.8	2.89
David Robinson	50	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	8	12	16.6	15.9	0.76	18.2	16.1	2.08
Antonio Daniels	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.36	23	5	18	16.3	16.2	0.10	16.9	17.6	-0.70
Terry Porter	39	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	20	-12	15.0	17.4	-2.40	17.2	17.2	-0.06
Samaki Walker	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	17	-6	16.9	15.7	1.28	16.3	18.2	-1.88
Avery Johnson	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	19	-10	18.9	14.7	4.19	18.5	16.3	2.28
Danny Ferry	32	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	28	-28	16.0	16.5	-0.42	17.1	17.2	-0.11
Steve Kerr	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.16	8	20	-12	16.8	16.1	0.63	13.9	18.4	-4.50
Sean Elliott	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	25	-22	17.5	16.2	1.32	20.6	16.8	3.78
Shawnelle Scott	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	14.2	16.5	-2.32	13.0	17.7	-4.70
Derrick Dial	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	25	-22	14.2	16.5	-2.32	12.2	17.7	-5.46

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.32	-12	-16	4	18.1	16.9	1.18	17.9	15.8	2.08
Emanual Davis	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-18	8	17.0	17.5	-0.52	17.8	14.6	3.15
Vin Baker	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-23	18	18.3	15.6	2.72	16.9	15.3	1.60
Ruben Patterson	35	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-15	2	18.4	16.3	2.09	16.4	16.3	0.09
Patrick Ewing	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-21	14	16.3	18.4	-2.13	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Jelani McCoy	26	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	-9	-10	16.3	17.6	-1.29	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Shammond Williams	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.34	-23	-5	-18	16.8	17.7	-0.88	15.7	17.0	-1.22
Desmond Mason	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	-5	-18	16.5	19.1	-2.55	15.7	17.8	-2.08
Gary Payton	74	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	-6	-16	17.7	13.7	3.99	16.4	15.7	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SEA 138, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 106, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	97.0%