NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	3.1 [1120]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +7.2%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	1.0 [725]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -14.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	67%	0.08	3	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.06	13	58%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	11	73%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	27	47%	0.03	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	77%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.09	22	60%	-0.00	2	-0.03	11	100%	0.03
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	8	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.04
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.20	-0.00	-0.06	15	39%	-0.05	6	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	28.1	14.8	28.2	2.7	37.0	139.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.1%

HOU -0.4%

MIN +4.4%

MIN +18.1%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.5	109.3	102.1	100.9
season	15.0	16.3		102.9	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.9		102.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	14.2	16.0	16.5	15.1
HOU	14.9	15.8	14.0	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-4	16	15.0	15.5	-0.58	14.8	14.5	0.37
Terrell Brandon	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-1	10	14.5	17.7	-3.20	14.8	14.6	0.12
Chauncey Billups	75	74	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	15.0	15.6	-0.68	14.8	14.4	0.47
Kevin Garnett	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	0	8	14.9	16.1	-1.24	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Anthony Peeler	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	7	-6	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.6	15.0	-0.35
LaPhonso Ellis	30	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	16.2	14.6	1.52	16.0	14.2	1.82
Wally Szczerbiak	46	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	2	4	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.2	14.2	1.01
Sam Mitchell	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	1	6	14.6	15.2	-0.60	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Sam Jacobson	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	9.0	15.2	-6.24	5.0	14.8	-9.83
Dean Garrett	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	17	-26	16.6	14.7	1.87	13.8	15.0	-1.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	43	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-19	30	13.9	15.4	-1.53	16.5	13.9	2.65
Matt Bullard	18	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	13.6	15.0	-1.44	16.6	14.8	1.74
Jason Collier	5	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	17.2	14.6	2.61	12.0	15.3	-3.32
Hakeem Olajuwon	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-3	-2	14.8	14.7	0.09	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Shandon Anderson	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.24	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Moochie Norris	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-12	16	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.6	14.6	0.96
Carlos Rogers	16	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	6	-20	16.9	14.3	2.57	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Walt Williams	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	7	-22	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Maurice Taylor	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	14.8	14.3	0.50	15.1	15.3	-0.26
Cuttino Mobley	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-8	8	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.8	13.8	1.92
Steve Francis	81	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.0	15.9	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 104, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 101, SEA 73	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%