NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	7.2 [366]		MVP	Jason Williams (SAC): +14.4%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.5 [555]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): -21.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	18	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	21	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	25	45%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	13	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.07	-0.02	12	47%	0.07	2	-0.07	16	87%	0.07
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	22	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	8	53%	-0.04	5	-0.09	16	56%	-0.06
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	0.00	18	28%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.4	32.5	19.8	29.1	4.5	36.3	147.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.7%

SAC +1.3%

SAC +10.2%

SAC +9.7%

SAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAC	NBA	TOR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.5	94.8	98.0	100.9
season	15.8	14.4		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	17.0	17.5	13.3	15.5
SAC	15.2	12.4	12.5	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-4	1	18.2	15.3	2.86	12.7	14.0	-1.34
Morris Peterson	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-7	7	16.2	14.8	1.36	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Charles Oakley	63	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	15.1	16.2	-1.05	14.3	13.3	1.04
Chris Childs	47	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	14.3	16.7	-2.42	14.2	13.7	0.54
Antonio Davis	77	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	15.5	15.4	0.15	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Tracy Murray	27	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.3	15.2	1.17	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Jerome Williams	21	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	3	-13	14.7	15.7	-1.05	14.6	13.7	0.86
Alvin Williams	75	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.5	15.4	0.14	14.1	13.2	0.90
Keon Clark	34	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.2	0.79	13.5	14.2	-0.63
Vince Carter	84	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.1	0.46	13.9	13.9	0.08

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	85	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.21	14	-7	21	14.1	13.1	0.94	15.7	13.9	1.80
Chris Webber	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-3	13	13.9	14.0	-0.09	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Jason Williams	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	13.7	14.4	-0.65	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Scot Pollard	53	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Peja Stojakovic	80	77	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	5	-3	13.7	14.7	-0.96	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Bobby Jackson	33	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	14.6	13.6	1.05	16.0	15.3	0.73
Hedo Turkoglu	35	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	9	-11	14.0	13.9	0.15	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Vlade Divac	66	64	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	7	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.55	16.4	13.6	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.72,1	93.1%
SEA 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%
HOU 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.0%