NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	5.8 [639]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +14.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies	77		Comeback	3.3 [628]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -27.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	7	80%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	23	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	73%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Derrick Dial	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tim Duncan	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	16	46%	-0.02	4	-0.10	9	33%	-0.10
David Robinson	-0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.19	-0.10	-0.01	16	19%	-0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	71%	0.13	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	13	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	15	37%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.6	15.4	25.4	2.0	30.3	125.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +6.3%

VAN -0.8%

SAS +11.9%

SAS +31.8%

SAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.5	97.8	83.7	100.9
season	15.9	15.6		103.4	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.6	16.8	16.2	16.4	16.0
VAN	16.0	13.2	15.1	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	60	60	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-3	20	15.2	17.4	-2.18	14.2	17.0	-2.80
Danny Ferry	55	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-7	28	16.4	15.4	0.92	16.0	13.7	2.29
David Robinson	63	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	2	10	17.0	13.8	3.23	16.0	13.3	2.73
Tim Duncan	84	84	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-2	18	16.1	15.3	0.73	15.8	7.9	7.96
Derek Anderson	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	0	14	15.9	16.4	-0.50	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Derrick Dial	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.5	16.1	-4.59	8.0	15.3	-7.30
Sean Elliott	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	13	-12	15.8	16.0	-0.17	17.5	14.8	2.70
Steve Kerr	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	16	-18	17.9	15.8	2.02	16.1	15.1	1.08
Terry Porter	30	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	16	-18	16.7	15.6	1.10	13.5	15.8	-2.31
Samaki Walker	33	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.11	-2	16	-18	14.6	16.8	-2.19	13.2	16.2	-2.95
Avery Johnson	30	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	19	-24	15.6	16.2	-0.57	15.5	15.0	0.50

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	44	42	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-19	24	15.7	14.6	1.04	17.6	14.6	2.97
Erick Strickland	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-15	16	14.2	15.3	-1.09	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-11	8	12.2	15.9	-3.69	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Tony Massenburg	19	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-15	16	14.9	15.2	-0.31	16.6	15.8	0.75
Michael Dickerson	82	83	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	15.0	16.0	-0.96	16.5	12.1	4.36
Mike Bibby	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	15.0	15.7	-0.68	15.7	17.7	-2.03
Bryant Reeves	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	1	-16	15.2	14.9	0.31	15.8	16.6	-0.75
Damon Jones	10	10	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-4	-6	16.5	15.0	1.52	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	86	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	4	-22	15.4	11.7	3.72	15.8	17.7	-1.87
Stromile Swift	37	39	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.20	-14	0	-14	15.9	14.7	1.21	14.7	16.9	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, BKN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.01,0,0	94.2%
LAL 100, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
BOS 79, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0	93.2%