NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	91		Excitement	4.4 [906]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +12.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Comeback	1.4 [932]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -15.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.03	14	74%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	18	50%	0.13	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	52%	0.02	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.04
Brian Grant	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	78%	0.10	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	55%	-0.00	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	14	41%	-0.06	4	-0.09	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	27.8	13.8	26.3	1.6	28.3	121.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +55.1%

CLE -8.9%

MIA +1.9%

MIA +2.9%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.5	97.8	84.0	100.9
season	16.3	15.3		98.4	98.4
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.6	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	17.1	14.2	19.7	16.5
CLE	14.8	14.9	15.2	12.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-3	18	16.5	16.5	0.02	14.0	15.2	-1.15
Brian Grant	59	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-2	16	14.9	19.3	-4.37	15.1	12.7	2.45
Eddie Jones	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	3	6	16.9	15.7	1.17	14.4	14.2	0.13
Bruce Bowen	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	2	8	15.4	18.6	-3.15	14.6	13.7	0.86
Anthony Mason	78	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	6	0	16.5	16.4	0.11	14.0	15.9	-1.81
A.C. Green	46	43	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	9	-6	18.2	14.9	3.32	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Dan Majerle	63	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	7	-2	17.3	14.8	2.45	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Eddie House	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	22.0	16.4	5.57	0.0	14.3	-14.32
Anthony Carter	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	14	-16	16.6	16.5	0.11	15.2	14.0	1.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	50	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-11	10	13.2	15.6	-2.35	17.7	15.2	2.53
Robert Traylor	17	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-8	4	14.4	14.3	0.11	17.3	16.3	0.92
Wesley Person	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.5	17.3	-1.79
Bimbo Coles	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-6	0	15.0	14.0	0.95	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Chris Gatling	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-11	10	14.3	14.4	-0.09	17.6	15.3	2.34
Matt Harpring	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.7	14.0	0.76	15.5	17.3	-1.76
Andre Miller	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	13.8	16.0	-2.10	16.8	15.6	1.23
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	14.4	14.2	0.18	16.4	16.6	-0.16
Chris Mihm	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.1	17.8	-2.66
Lamond Murray	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	14.5	13.9	0.67	16.9	15.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
NOP 109, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 96, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	94.9%