NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	4.0 [984]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +19.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	122		Comeback	1.0 [1234]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -14.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	-0.00	-0.06	13	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Paul McPherson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	48%	-0.02	1	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	24	46%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	12	39%	-0.10	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.04	0.05	27	73%	0.23	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	12	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	25.0	15.8	23.6	2.5	25.6	117.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.8%

MIL +0.7%

MIL +24.1%

GSW -4.5%

GSW -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.5	100.0	127.1	100.9
season	15.0	14.9		95.3	105.9
opponent	15.8	14.9		102.3	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	14.1	15.4	16.8	15.2
MIL	13.5	15.3	13.4	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul McPherson	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	17.0	15.0	2.03	20.1	14.5	5.64
Adam Keefe	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-19	11	14.6	15.4	-0.84	16.4	14.4	1.92
Vonteego Cummings	53	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.26	-14	-13	-1	15.0	15.3	-0.31	15.9	13.7	2.23
Bob Sura	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-15	3	14.7	15.9	-1.18	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Corie Blount	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.30	-21	-6	-15	15.7	14.6	1.10	16.5	13.7	2.80
Adonal Foyle	81	83	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.21	-19	-8	-11	15.4	13.7	1.69	15.0	15.2	-0.27
Larry Hughes	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.05	-14	-13	-1	15.1	15.2	-0.07	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Antawn Jamison	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	-5	-17	15.0	16.5	-1.51	14.5	17.8	-3.32
Mookie Blaylock	54	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.11	-20	-7	-13	15.3	15.0	0.23	14.0	16.3	-2.32

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	1	25	13.9	17.4	-3.44	15.6	14.2	1.42
Jason Caffey	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	8	11	13.9	16.6	-2.63	15.2	15.1	0.18
Glenn Robinson	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	1	25	14.5	17.2	-2.69	15.5	13.5	2.05
Sam Cassell	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	7	13	13.7	16.8	-3.11	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Mark Pope	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.14	19	8	11	15.1	14.6	0.50	15.3	14.8	0.48
Ervin Johnson	42	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	18	-9	15.5	14.6	0.97	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Tim Thomas	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	28	-29	15.6	14.9	0.75	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Rafer Alston	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	19.7	14.0	5.70	15.9	15.0	0.84
Joel Przybilla	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	20.8	14.6	6.22	16.5	15.1	1.43
Jerome Kersey	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.22	7	20	-13	16.8	14.0	2.82	15.5	15.0	0.52
Lindsey Hunter	44	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	26	-25	15.7	14.4	1.30	13.9	16.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SEA 105, LAL 130	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 94, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%