NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	119		Excitement	5.4 [720]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +20.2%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	2.1 [387]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -6.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.04	-0.00	12	79%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	17	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	15	73%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	1	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	16	45%	0.01	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	18	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	22	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	22	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	10	80%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	32.4	15.7	30.1	2.3	36.6	143.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +8.1%

LAL +21.8%

LAL +22.8%

DAL -6.6%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.5	122.7	114.7	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		106.8	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.2	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	13.8	13.4	17.1	15.1
DAL	15.9	15.5	16.0	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	14.0	18.9	-4.91	14.9	14.8	0.16
Horace Grant	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	15.1	15.1	0.03	15.2	14.5	0.77
Shaquille O'Neal	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	3	4	16.3	12.5	3.74	16.0	12.4	3.51
Isaiah Rider	64	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	15.1	15.2	-0.15	15.0	14.7	0.32
Kobe Bryant	80	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	6	-2	15.3	14.2	1.06	15.1	13.9	1.14
Mike Penberthy	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	4	2	15.2	15.0	0.17	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Mark Madsen	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	9	-8	13.7	15.5	-1.79	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Robert Horry	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	17.1	14.4	2.74	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Devean George	14	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	14.6	15.2	-0.55	16.5	14.6	1.88
Tyronn Lue	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	8	-6	10.2	15.9	-5.73	11.5	15.5	-4.06
Brian Shaw	16	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	17.7	14.6	3.16	13.0	15.2	-2.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-17	24	14.2	15.1	-0.94	16.6	14.7	1.91
Greg Buckner	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	14.6	15.1	-0.55	13.9	16.1	-2.25
Loy Vaught	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	0	-10	16.0	14.8	1.22	13.1	15.3	-2.17
Christian Laettner	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	15.7	13.9	1.83	16.2	13.7	2.50
Howard Eisley	64	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Steve Nash	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	15.2	13.7	1.50	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Hubert Davis	44	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	3	-16	14.0	15.6	-1.65	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Michael Finley	88	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	14.9	15.1	-0.28	14.9	18.4	-3.57
Dirk Nowitzki	78	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.0	14.2	0.86	15.8	11.8	3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DAL 109, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 95, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.01,0.04,0	94.4%