NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	3.5 [1060]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +4.8%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	1.1 [1119]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -6.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	21	57%	0.08	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	8	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Herren	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	15	58%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	77%	0.07	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	21	52%	-0.02	3	-0.05	16	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.3	37.5	15.8	29.2	2.3	31.3	147.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.8%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +23.1%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.5	103.1	115.2	100.9
season	15.1	16.0		99.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	14.7	16.3	13.8	14.4
UTA	15.3	14.7	13.1	17.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-19	23	16.5	14.0	2.50	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Chris Herren	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-21	27	14.8	14.2	0.64	14.7	15.3	-0.67
Milt Palacio	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-11	7	12.8	14.8	-2.04	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Walter McCarty	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-6	-3	14.7	14.4	0.32	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Eric Williams	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-5	-5	13.4	15.2	-1.80	15.3	15.0	0.26
Chris Carr	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-17	19	12.9	15.7	-2.83	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Mark Blount	54	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-11	7	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.6	13.0	3.58
Vitaly Potapenko	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-3	-9	14.6	14.4	0.22	12.7	15.9	-3.25
Paul Pierce	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.3	13.3	1.96	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Bryant Stith	54	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	0	-15	15.4	13.2	2.18	15.4	14.8	0.61
Kenny Anderson	46	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	0	-15	15.0	13.9	1.04	15.9	14.4	1.48
Antoine Walker	83	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-6	-3	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.2	14.5	0.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	58	56	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-2	19	14.2	16.4	-2.27	15.5	12.9	2.51
John Stockton	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	-10	35	13.1	17.2	-4.14	16.0	12.7	3.32
Karl Malone	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-2	19	14.1	16.7	-2.65	15.1	13.3	1.78
Olden Polynice	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	5	5	14.2	15.7	-1.44	15.3	13.8	1.46
Scott Padgett	18	16	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	4	7	13.4	15.5	-2.10	16.1	14.1	1.97
Bryon Russell	73	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	13	-11	15.8	13.1	2.76	13.7	16.4	-2.67
DeShawn Stevenson	27	26	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	6	3	15.3	15.0	0.25	12.0	15.3	-3.26
Danny Manning	35	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	18	-21	16.8	14.2	2.61	13.0	15.1	-2.11
John Starks	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	13	-11	14.7	15.5	-0.74	15.5	13.5	2.02
John Crotty	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	14	-13	17.3	14.9	2.34	12.7	14.5	-1.87
Jacque Vaughn	49	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	25	-35	17.2	13.1	4.14	12.7	16.0	-3.32
Greg Ostertag	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	21	-27	17.2	14.1	3.16	13.1	15.0	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAS 96, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 95, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%