NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	5.8 [630]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +17.7%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.0 [915]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -17.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.00	14	78%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	14	50%	-0.03	4	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	10	10%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.02	21	67%	0.23	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	30.1	16.7	29.2	1.8	30.0	137.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +20.7%

ORL +12.8%

ORL +0.0%

ORL +14.2%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.5	98.9	107.9	100.9
season	16.4	14.6		99.2	101.6
opponent	15.8	16.1		100.8	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.6	17.7	16.6	16.5
ORL	13.2	15.7	17.4	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	49	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-14	20	16.2	16.8	-0.63	16.7	14.9	1.76
Chris Childs	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-11	14	16.0	17.0	-1.03	17.4	14.1	3.33
Charlie Ward	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	17.0	16.1	0.85	14.1	17.3	-3.14
Larry Johnson	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-8	8	16.8	15.2	1.57	16.0	15.4	0.58
Kurt Thomas	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	16.0	16.8	-0.80	16.3	15.5	0.81
Latrell Sprewell	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	17.1	12.5	4.62	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Marcus Camby	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	16.5	16.5	-0.01	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Allan Houston	69	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	7	-22	16.1	18.0	-1.99	15.3	17.9	-2.62

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	80	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	15.7	17.2	-1.52	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Darrell Armstrong	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-3	14	15.6	16.5	-0.84	16.7	16.0	0.68
Mike Miller	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	0	8	15.5	16.7	-1.22	17.4	14.4	3.01
Bo Outlaw	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-1	10	14.4	18.1	-3.68	17.1	15.5	1.59
Don Reid	27	27	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	1	6	16.8	15.4	1.38	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Pat Garrity	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.23	2	6	-4	17.1	14.7	2.35	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Andrew DeClercq	28	28	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	15.7	15.9	-0.15	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Monty Williams	21	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	9	-10	16.0	15.8	0.25	15.9	16.7	-0.85
Troy Hudson	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	11	-14	16.5	15.6	0.84	16.0	16.7	-0.68
John Amaechi	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	11	-14	17.7	15.5	2.21	17.8	16.3	1.52
Michael Doleac	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	16.1	15.7	0.42	15.2	17.1	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.97,1	94.2%
CHI 84, VAN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
GSW 97, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.3%