NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	3.9 [994]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +12.2%
Charlotte Hornets	83		Comeback	1.5 [393]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -11.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	6	93%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	18	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Don Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	52%	0.00	3	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	62%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	14	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.5	15.6	24.4	1.7	25.7	123.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.0%

ORL +14.6%

ORL +4.1%

CHH -5.1%

CHH -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHH	NBA	ORL	CHH	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	15.5	116.0	87.4	100.9
season	14.6	15.8		101.6	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	13.6	14.3	17.1	14.5
CHH	14.7	18.5	14.5	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	67	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	7	12	14.4	14.9	-0.43	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Tracy McGrady	72	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.06	20	6	14	13.5	18.0	-4.51	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Darrell Armstrong	55	54	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	11	4	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.5	15.2	1.33
Bo Outlaw	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	10	6	14.8	14.0	0.80	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Michael Doleac	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	4	18	15.3	13.6	1.70	16.6	15.2	1.34
Andrew DeClercq	29	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	21	-16	13.3	15.1	-1.78	14.3	16.7	-2.38
John Amaechi	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	21	-16	13.5	14.9	-1.36	17.1	15.5	1.59
Troy Hudson	39	41	0.07	0.42	-0.35	-0.25	11	15	-4	15.1	14.2	0.87	15.2	16.5	-1.33
Cory Alexander	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	21	-16	16.4	14.4	2.04	12.6	16.2	-3.62
Pat Garrity	15	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	22	-18	16.4	14.2	2.21	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Monty Williams	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.29	9	17	-8	16.0	13.6	2.36	17.2	15.1	2.02
Don Reid	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	27	-28	13.9	14.6	-0.72	18.6	15.7	2.90

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	42	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.27	-7	-19	12	15.6	16.2	-0.51	15.7	13.7	2.06
Lee Nailon	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-21	16	15.6	16.0	-0.44	18.1	13.8	4.29
Hersey Hawkins	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-19	12	16.6	15.6	1.05	15.6	14.0	1.64
Jamaal Magloire	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.21	-11	-15	4	16.1	15.9	0.27	16.2	14.0	2.29
Elden Campbell	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-24	22	15.0	16.6	-1.54	14.4	14.7	-0.25
P.J. Brown	50	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	-10	-6	17.1	14.7	2.39	13.4	15.8	-2.39
Derrick Coleman	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-15	4	16.0	15.8	0.18	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Baron Davis	71	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	-6	-14	15.7	16.5	-0.71	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Jamal Mashburn	76	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	-4	-18	16.0	15.7	0.30	13.8	17.4	-3.69
David Wesley	67	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.14	-24	-2	-22	15.8	16.2	-0.46	13.6	16.5	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 103, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0	95.4%
WAS 114, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%