NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	2.6 [1181]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +8.2%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.1 [989]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (CLE): -8.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	94%	0.07	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	63%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	-0.01	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	25	67%	0.13	5	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	7	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	69%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	17	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	5	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.2	15.7	24.2	1.8	25.0	119.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.8%

BOS +6.3%

CLE -2.2%

BOS +12.7%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.5	87.2	110.8	100.9
season	15.3	15.1		98.4	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.2	14.0	16.7	14.0	15.7
BOS	13.1	15.4	14.7	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	12.0	15.9	-3.90	15.6	15.1	0.52
Chucky Brown	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-23	25	14.1	16.7	-2.56	17.5	13.7	3.77
Trajan Langdon	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-17	13	13.7	16.9	-3.20	17.7	13.6	4.09
Chris Mihm	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-11	1	15.2	15.8	-0.58	15.3	15.1	0.23
Bimbo Coles	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-5	-11	14.4	16.4	-2.10	16.4	14.4	1.95
Cedric Henderson	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-10	-1	14.5	16.9	-2.38	16.0	14.3	1.72
Andre Miller	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-11	1	16.9	14.1	2.80	14.3	16.3	-1.95
Lamond Murray	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-11	1	16.6	14.6	1.96	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Jim Jackson	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-4	-13	17.1	13.6	3.55	13.6	17.2	-3.60
Robert Traylor	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-7	-7	15.9	15.3	0.63	14.4	16.2	-1.89
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-1	-19	16.4	12.9	3.44	14.5	17.4	-2.91

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	66	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	2	17	14.8	15.9	-1.10	16.3	14.0	2.22
Paul Pierce	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.32	26	-5	31	14.9	15.9	-1.04	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Eric Williams	40	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	3	15	15.0	15.2	-0.19	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Milt Palacio	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	10	1	14.4	15.7	-1.28	16.4	15.1	1.31
Bryant Stith	68	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	11	-1	15.1	15.2	-0.18	16.3	14.2	2.10
Mark Blount	41	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	10	1	15.2	15.0	0.20	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Vitaly Potapenko	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	6	9	15.0	15.3	-0.30	17.3	14.2	3.12
Kenny Anderson	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	11	-1	15.7	14.4	1.28	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Chris Carr	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	26	-31	16.7	14.8	1.84	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Jerome Moiso	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	15.6	15.1	0.52	12.0	15.9	-3.90
Walter McCarty	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	26	-31	16.5	14.8	1.67	13.1	16.2	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
POR 69, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NYK 71, TOR 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%