NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	81		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +18.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	3.1 [812]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -20.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	20	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.03	24	37%	-0.01	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.02	10	79%	0.22	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	10	75%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.7	28.1	15.7	24.0	2.4	25.6	118.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +18.4%

POR +14.4%

POR +17.9%

CHI -2.0%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	17.2	15.3	15.5	92.0	103.4	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		95.2	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	20.1	16.2	16.9	17.2
POR	15.4	14.2	16.5	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-11	11	0.0	17.2	-17.23	3.0	15.5	-12.47
Bryce Drew	47	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-8	5	16.3	18.3	-1.95	15.6	15.0	0.59
Metta World Peace	29	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	17.1	17.3	-0.13	14.3	15.9	-1.54
Brad Miller	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	16.5	20.9	-4.40	16.1	11.5	4.64
Fred Hoiberg	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-10	9	17.3	16.8	0.57	15.8	13.4	2.43
Dalibor Bagaric	14	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	20.9	16.5	4.40	12.1	15.9	-3.86
Jamal Crawford	41	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	18.3	16.3	1.95	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Elton Brand	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	17.2	17.3	-0.11	15.5	13.0	2.52
Ron Mercer	82	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	17.2	18.0	-0.83	15.1	18.7	-3.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-5	21	15.1	16.2	-1.19	17.2	17.4	-0.29
Arvydas Sabonis	42	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-5	21	14.3	16.3	-2.01	18.0	16.5	1.43
Steven Smith	67	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-1	13	15.0	16.3	-1.32	17.4	16.7	0.78
Greg Anthony	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	1	9	15.0	15.5	-0.54	18.6	16.3	2.28
Dale Davis	55	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	9	-7	15.5	15.1	0.43	16.3	18.7	-2.37
Rasheed Wallace	69	69	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	15.2	15.8	-0.68	17.2	17.3	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	54	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	10	-9	15.5	15.0	0.54	16.3	18.6	-2.28
Shawn Kemp	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	11	-11	19.2	14.8	4.36	18.6	17.1	1.55
Stacey Augmon	44	45	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	18	-25	16.4	14.3	2.14	17.2	17.3	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.58,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.93,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,1	92.9%
LAL 96, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.4%
GSW 107, POR 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.4%