NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	7.1 [374]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +16.2%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	2.2 [519]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -25.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Bruno Sundov	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	3	33%	-0.09	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.06
Jalen Rose	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.26,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.10	-0.11	0.05	21	36%	-0.20	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	18	61%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.09	-0.01	6	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	16	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.4	16.4	24.4	2.7	33.3	130.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.6%

IND -7.9%

ORL +20.2%

IND -1.7%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.5	93.5	101.1	100.9
season	15.9	14.6		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	17.1	15.2	14.1	15.8
ORL	15.8	12.4	19.0	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-14	21	15.5	16.4	-0.92	15.7	15.2	0.47
Bruno Sundov	63	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-10	13	15.2	17.1	-1.92	16.8	12.7	4.12
Austin Croshere	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	0	-7	17.3	15.3	1.98	12.3	16.6	-4.25
Jeff Foster	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	15.7	15.9	-0.19	13.4	16.5	-3.13
Derrick McKey	5	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	0	-7	18.8	15.7	3.14	9.7	15.9	-6.22
Reggie Miller	81	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.6	17.3	-1.64	15.9	11.8	4.13
Jermaine O'Neal	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	16.4	14.6	1.83	17.0	12.5	4.52
Jalen Rose	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	2	-11	15.7	16.4	-0.71	15.7	14.3	1.45
Travis Best	40	41	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	7	-21	15.2	16.3	-1.15	13.6	17.0	-3.33

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	46	47	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.31	15	-8	23	13.9	17.0	-3.13	15.9	15.7	0.23
Mike Miller	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Michael Doleac	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	14.2	16.5	-2.28	14.2	17.3	-3.02
Darrell Armstrong	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	16.3	13.3	2.97	16.2	14.8	1.43
Tracy McGrady	70	69	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	4	-1	16.2	13.3	2.84	16.2	14.8	1.39
Monty Williams	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	13.4	16.6	-3.13	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Troy Hudson	29	30	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	4	-1	13.1	16.6	-3.52	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Andrew DeClercq	36	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	10	-13	17.9	13.9	4.01	17.2	15.0	2.17
John Amaechi	56	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	9	-11	16.6	13.8	2.79	16.6	14.7	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MIL 111, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.9%