NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	6.8 [433]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +19.4%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	12.0 [49]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -19.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.02	14	57%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.06,0,0,0,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	3	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	58%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	11	64%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	20	67%	0.21	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	15	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.15	-0.02	13	42%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	28.2	11.7	26.0	2.0	32.2	126.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.4%

WAS +14.7%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +7.5%

ATL -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.5	15.5	119.1	112.5	100.9
season	15.2	15.4		98.6	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.5	17.3	18.8	15.7	17.0
ATL	14.0	14.0	14.8	19.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	36	38	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-8	23	17.3	16.9	0.44	16.2	15.0	1.22
Mitch Richmond	55	54	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-4	15	16.1	18.6	-2.59	15.8	14.9	0.89
Richard Hamilton	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	2	3	17.6	16.2	1.38	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Chris Whitney	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	18.4	15.0	3.32	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Juwan Howard	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	4	-1	17.6	14.6	3.04	15.0	18.0	-3.03
Tyrone Nesby	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	-8	23	16.8	17.3	-0.46	16.6	14.1	2.48
Popeye Jones	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	6	-5	14.3	17.2	-2.91	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Rod Strickland	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	5	-3	15.0	18.4	-3.32	16.3	15.0	1.36
Michael Smith	45	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	16	-25	16.3	17.8	-1.44	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Calvin Booth	40	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.05	-13	20	-33	17.8	16.4	1.46	15.4	15.6	-0.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	60	61	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	-5	3	14.7	17.1	-2.37	16.7	17.9	-1.24
DerMarr Johnson	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-6	5	11.2	15.7	-4.55	16.8	17.1	-0.23
Chris Crawford	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.9	18.2	-3.34
Jason Terry	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	15.0	18.1	-3.04	17.7	13.0	4.68
Dikembe Mutombo	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-12	17	15.3	16.0	-0.73	18.4	12.4	5.99
Tony Smith	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	4	-15	15.7	15.4	0.30	16.1	17.7	-1.59
Roshown McLeod	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-6	5	16.4	14.1	2.23	18.4	15.2	3.18
Dion Glover	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	0	-7	15.9	14.4	1.52	16.8	17.6	-0.75
Alan Henderson	48	48	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.30	-17	10	-27	16.7	14.1	2.59	15.6	18.7	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.57,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.32,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	91.6%
MIA 93, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.08,0	91.6%
BOS 105, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.17,0	91.2%