NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	58		Excitement	3.2 [1105]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (POR): +7.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.1 [348]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -15.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	60%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	8	17%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	10	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	17	33%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	68%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	12	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	-0.07	11	21%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.3	22.3	15.7	23.3	1.7	28.0	120.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.1%

CLE +5.7%

POR -3.4%

CLE +11.4%

CLE +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.9	16.8	15.5	67.4	98.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.3		103.9	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	16.7	15.3	19.3	16.9
CLE	13.9	16.0	18.1	19.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-22	18	17.5	16.6	0.90	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Shawn Kemp	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-14	2	15.7	17.8	-2.03	18.1	15.8	2.22
Stacey Augmon	61	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-21	16	16.7	17.6	-0.89	16.2	18.0	-1.85
Dale Davis	35	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.25	-18	-8	-10	17.8	16.4	1.42	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Bonzi Wells	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-17	8	17.5	16.5	1.02	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Greg Anthony	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-10	-6	17.9	16.3	1.64	18.9	15.5	3.40
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.43	-26	0	-26	16.6	17.9	-1.29	16.5	17.7	-1.27
Steven Smith	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	-4	-18	16.6	17.6	-1.02	16.8	16.6	0.29
Rasheed Wallace	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-8	-10	16.9	17.2	-0.37	16.4	18.4	-2.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	58	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	11	4	15.3	19.8	-4.49	16.9	16.9	0.00
Jim Jackson	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.28	22	4	18	17.6	15.2	2.40	17.0	16.8	0.26
Trajan Langdon	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.34	23	3	20	16.9	16.6	0.32	16.8	17.2	-0.41
Lamond Murray	47	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	19	-12	16.2	17.5	-1.30	17.7	15.9	1.73
Andre Miller	60	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	7	12	17.2	15.8	1.41	17.7	14.8	2.91
Chris Gatling	56	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.26	18	8	10	17.4	15.5	1.93	16.4	18.0	-1.53
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.31	19	7	12	17.6	15.2	2.40	17.4	16.0	1.48
Bimbo Coles	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	19	-12	15.8	17.2	-1.41	14.8	17.7	-2.91
Cedric Henderson	16	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	26	-26	15.2	17.1	-1.93	14.7	17.4	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 83, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 100, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%