NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	5.0 [790]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +5.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.6 [730]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -12.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	29	47%	0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.10
Courtney Alexander	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	19	53%	-0.00	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.06	-0.04	17	54%	0.15	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	87%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	20	46%	-0.04	5	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	27.0	15.4	22.4	1.7	34.0	125.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +38.9%

MIL +7.6%

MIL +10.0%

DAL -9.8%

MIL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.5	98.9	104.1	100.9
season	15.2	14.9		104.6	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.3		102.3	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	17.0	16.3	14.2	15.3
MIL	14.3	15.1	12.0	17.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	10	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.7	14.4	1.27
Courtney Alexander	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-9	10	17.4	14.9	2.49	14.6	14.5	0.12
Gary Trent	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	18.0	14.7	3.28	12.1	15.1	-3.06
Christian Laettner	60	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	15.7	14.7	0.98	14.6	14.5	0.01
Howard Eisley	79	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.7	18.2	-3.54	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Shawn Bradley	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.8	13.2	2.55
Hubert Davis	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.6	14.4	1.19	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Michael Finley	90	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	15.0	20.6	-5.59	14.6	13.6	1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	80	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	14.7	18.3	-3.60	14.2	16.7	-2.50

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	62	60	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.21	28	-20	48	13.4	16.5	-3.08	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Glenn Robinson	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-1	10	14.3	15.9	-1.61	15.4	14.6	0.82
Ray Allen	83	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	14.3	15.7	-1.40	14.9	17.2	-2.35
Sam Cassell	83	80	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	14.3	15.9	-1.55	15.4	14.7	0.68
Scott Williams	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	16.4	13.0	3.46	15.4	15.2	0.26
Lindsey Hunter	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	11	-14	15.1	14.2	0.83	15.6	15.1	0.48
Mark Pope	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	2	4	12.7	15.8	-3.13	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Tim Thomas	58	57	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	14	-20	16.3	12.0	4.23	15.4	15.2	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.71,0.86,0.96,1	94.8%
SAS 89, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.96,1,1	94.5%
ATL 73, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%