NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	6.8 [446]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (UTA): +17.0%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	3.3 [646]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -23.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	19	65%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Travis Best	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Al Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	19	45%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.08
Jalen Rose	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	17	51%	-0.06	6	-0.18	7	57%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.02	18	57%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	20	57%	0.07	4	-0.14	21	71%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.8	30.8	15.8	30.4	2.5	39.4	144.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -8.4%

UTA +27.8%

UTA +15.6%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.5	102.1	105.1	100.9
season	15.9	16.0		99.3	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		100.5	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	15.8	14.8	14.6	15.3
UTA	15.9	14.8	12.9	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	23	22	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-9	14	15.5	15.2	0.28	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Jonathan Bender	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	6.0	15.4	-9.41	0.0	14.4	-14.38
Sam Perkins	60	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	15.0	15.7	-0.68	13.5	15.3	-1.74
Al Harrington	1	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-2	0	6.0	15.4	-9.41	9.5	14.3	-4.83
Travis Best	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-7	10	15.3	15.3	0.05	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Jalen Rose	90	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	1	-6	15.0	18.7	-3.67	14.0	17.0	-2.98
Derrick McKey	43	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	2	-8	16.4	14.4	2.03	15.5	13.2	2.32
Jermaine O'Neal	74	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.4	1.20	15.7	9.0	6.72
Reggie Miller	91	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	15.3	16.0	-0.74	14.4	12.6	1.79
Austin Croshere	49	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.17	13.0	15.5	-2.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	90	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	13.9	17.9	-3.96	14.9	19.1	-4.19
Jacque Vaughn	35	36	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-1	6	15.1	13.8	1.32	16.8	14.4	2.34
Quincy Lewis	13	13	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-4	12	14.8	14.2	0.62	16.5	15.1	1.33
John Starks	83	81	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	3	-2	13.6	17.5	-3.89	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Donyell Marshall	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	5	-6	14.4	13.3	1.14	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Danny Manning	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	-1	6	14.3	14.2	0.16	17.0	14.6	2.36
David Benoit	30	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	12.9	14.8	-1.88	15.2	15.4	-0.18
John Stockton	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	5	-6	13.8	15.1	-1.32	14.4	16.8	-2.34
DeShawn Stevenson	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	3	-2	15.3	14.1	1.21	17.0	15.1	1.89
Greg Ostertag	29	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	6	-8	15.5	13.7	1.77	16.6	14.8	1.82
Olden Polynice	28	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	15.9	13.6	2.27	15.0	15.4	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,1	93.4%
NJN 93, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.6%
DET 83, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.97,1	92.5%