inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement4.9 [813] MVPChucky Atkins (DET): +9.5%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.2 [1178] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -21.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.030.061468%0.1000.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.03872%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Dana Barros0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.03487%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Montross-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001038%-0.031-0.0210%-0.02
Billy Owens-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Ben Wallace-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.020.031045%-0.0600.0020%-0.04
Mateen Cleaves-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00944%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.19-0.04-0.013046%-0.107-0.111493%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.01-0.031167%0.112-0.022100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011280%0.135-0.08667%-0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001858%0.061-0.021479%-0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Dial00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01343%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.011136%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.0540%-0.0500.0020%-0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02150%-0.013-0.05475%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.14-0.00-0.031642%-0.034-0.08850%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.91.828.116.324.51.633.3126.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.2%
SAS +12.1%
SAS +12.3%
DET -5.9%
DET -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSASNBADETSASNBA
this game13.815.415.5103.1109.1100.9
season14.315.997.9103.4
opponent15.515.496.599.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.615.314.112.413.8
SAS15.715.315.914.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dana Barros4143-0.07-0.430.35-0.318-152312.314.9-2.6014.815.9-1.13
Billy Owens1414-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-4115.213.61.6216.915.21.69
Eric Montross1616-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-7712.414.1-1.7315.715.30.34
Mateen Cleaves2526-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-4114.313.70.6116.115.20.96
Mikki Moore4748-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-91113.214.4-1.1415.615.20.43
Chucky Atkins7273-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.23-3-4113.514.7-1.1814.817.2-2.43
Ben Wallace7272-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-2-314.312.51.8615.515.20.30
Michael Curry5857-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-92-1114.612.71.9516.114.51.65
Joe Smith6061-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-136-1914.213.21.0115.016.1-1.05
Jerry Stackhouse8585-0.500.00-0.51-0.24-92-1113.813.8-0.0215.415.5-0.11

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson80790.460.040.420.1112-51714.917.5-2.6313.814.1-0.28
David Robinson83830.440.060.380.0912-51715.315.9-0.6414.311.42.87
Antonio Daniels75740.370.130.250.2643114.817.3-2.5513.215.9-2.71
Danny Ferry21220.320.180.130.1170714.815.6-0.8214.013.80.22
Tim Duncan74740.300.200.100.2716-515.116.2-1.0613.714.3-0.67
Samaki Walker40380.260.240.030.1734-116.015.01.0413.414.1-0.71
Sean Elliott43430.160.34-0.170.0543116.414.71.7114.913.01.97
Steve Kerr35340.130.37-0.240.19-29-1115.815.20.6113.613.9-0.27
Terry Porter29280.120.38-0.260.1207-716.015.10.8914.613.51.14
Derrick Dial110.000.50-0.500.06-29-1119.015.43.636.013.9-7.91
Ira Newble1414-0.060.56-0.630.05-411-1517.315.12.1912.814.0-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 91, MEM 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,196.0%
PHI 84, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
ATL 92, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%