NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	8.9 [107]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +36.8%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	4.5 [83]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -19.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	14	54%	-0.04	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.05
Chris Webber	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	20	46%	-0.17	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.35,0.37	0.37	0.12	0.26	0.01	19	76%	0.57	5	-0.21	12	100%	0.06
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	11	59%	0.03	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	17	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.12	0.02	12	56%	-0.11	1	-0.04	12	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	32.2	19.6	25.5	3.4	39.2	144.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.1%

SAC -1.4%

ATL +19.9%

SAC -19.0%

SAC -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	15.5	95.2	105.9	100.9
season	14.4	15.4		103.1	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.6	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	14.0	15.4	14.0	14.3
ATL	13.9	12.7	15.2	13.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	25	25	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-9	10	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.8	13.5	1.35
Hedo Turkoglu	76	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	14.2	14.4	-0.22	14.6	11.7	2.87
Lawrence Funderburke	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	0	-8	15.1	14.2	0.92	12.4	14.0	-1.51
Scot Pollard	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	14.1	14.3	-0.20	14.9	13.3	1.61
Vlade Divac	71	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	14.6	13.6	1.02	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Chris Webber	94	92	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-8	8	14.2	15.1	-0.92	14.0	12.4	1.51
Jon Barry	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	4	-16	13.7	14.7	-1.01	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Doug Christie	84	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.1	0.21	13.5	14.9	-1.31
Jason Williams	80	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	1	-10	14.6	13.2	1.38	13.3	15.4	-2.04

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-9	26	13.1	15.7	-2.52	15.1	12.0	3.15
Jason Terry	87	90	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-5	18	13.4	16.4	-3.03	14.4	13.2	1.22
Dikembe Mutombo	85	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.7	12.3	2.34
Matt Maloney	88	91	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	3	2	13.8	13.9	-0.12	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Jim Jackson	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	0	8	13.9	13.6	0.29	14.7	12.9	1.85
Dion Glover	10	10	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	0	8	12.5	14.0	-1.47	14.3	14.3	0.03
DerMarr Johnson	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	16.0	13.6	2.44	12.7	14.5	-1.81
Hanno Mottola	19	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	16.1	13.3	2.75	13.0	14.6	-1.51
Lorenzen Wright	22	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	15	-22	15.8	13.3	2.49	11.9	15.0	-3.06
Larry Robinson	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	13	-18	13.7	13.9	-0.19	12.8	15.0	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.45,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.97,1	90.5%
VAN 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,1	90.3%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	89.8%