NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	6.7 [464]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +9.0%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	1.9 [309]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -21.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	2	111%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Tim Duncan	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Shawnelle Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	65%	0.04	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.16	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.11	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.03	12	56%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	15	47%	-0.00	3	-0.12	10	70%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	9	15%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	4	17%	-0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	35.4	14.7	26.2	2.4	32.7	139.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.9%

SAS +33.5%

UTA -4.7%

UTA -13.2%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.5	101.1	92.2	100.9
season	15.9	16.0		103.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.5	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	13.9	17.8	15.5	15.7
UTA	17.7	16.8	16.5	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	51	51	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-7	22	15.3	16.2	-0.92	15.2	17.8	-2.65
Malik Rose	73	72	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.19	17	-9	26	15.1	18.0	-2.89	15.3	20.5	-5.19
Danny Ferry	37	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	-9	26	13.5	17.1	-3.59	16.7	16.1	0.65
Terry Porter	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	15.8	15.6	0.20	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Sean Elliott	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	13	-18	16.0	14.9	1.16	16.4	16.1	0.30
Shawnelle Scott	13	14	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	15.4	15.7	-0.32	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Derek Anderson	47	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.0	15.6	1.45
Tim Duncan	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.33	-8	16	-24	17.6	13.2	4.46	17.5	14.9	2.60
David Robinson	35	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	15.7	15.7	0.00	17.1	15.8	1.28
Ira Newble	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	15.8	-15.83	0.0	16.5	-16.53
Avery Johnson	39	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	15	-22	16.2	15.3	0.92	17.8	15.2	2.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	27	25	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.03	10	-18	28	15.1	16.9	-1.76	15.8	15.6	0.20
Greg Ostertag	36	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-13	18	13.8	18.1	-4.28	17.6	14.5	3.13
David Benoit	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	18.9	16.1	2.78	9.4	16.3	-6.90
Olden Polynice	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	18.1	15.1	2.95	17.2	14.6	2.60
John Stockton	60	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-10	12	15.9	17.3	-1.38	15.7	15.6	0.03
Danny Manning	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	16.4	16.3	0.04	12.6	16.8	-4.19
Jacque Vaughn	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	2	-12	17.3	15.9	1.38	15.6	15.7	-0.03
John Starks	55	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	1	-10	16.4	16.3	0.14	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Bryon Russell	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.7	17.5	-1.74	16.1	14.8	1.30
Karl Malone	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	16.4	15.9	0.57	15.7	15.1	0.61
Donyell Marshall	39	38	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	2	-12	18.0	15.1	2.97	15.3	15.9	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, ATL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
MIA 87, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.04,0,0.01,0.08,0	92.5%
MIL 91, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	92.1%