NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	4.8 [825]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +9.7%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	1.6 [978]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -11.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	17	47%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	48%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Francis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	15	51%	0.00	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	26	63%	0.22	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	5	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.5	15.6	28.2	2.7	32.0	132.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.9%

HOU -2.6%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +6.5%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.5	100.0	113.3	100.9
season	16.3	14.4		104.6	103.1
opponent	15.5	14.9		97.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.9	14.6	14.1	15.0
SAC	13.0	12.3	15.4	17.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	14.5	15.0	-0.49	22.0	14.2	7.75
Matt Bullard	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-7	1	14.9	15.0	-0.07	12.7	14.7	-1.98
Kenny Thomas	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-10	7	15.5	14.7	0.74	15.1	14.0	1.01
Moochie Norris	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-7	1	15.0	14.9	0.12	14.6	14.2	0.47
Cuttino Mobley	66	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.0	13.2	1.77
Shandon Anderson	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-10	7	15.2	14.9	0.29	13.5	15.0	-1.44
Maurice Taylor	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	15.5	14.5	1.02	12.8	15.8	-3.06
Hakeem Olajuwon	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	0	-13	15.0	15.0	0.01	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Walt Williams	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	-2	-9	14.5	15.9	-1.38	15.2	12.9	2.28
Steve Francis	96	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-2	-9	15.0	14.5	0.49	14.2	22.0	-7.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	14.4	14.5	-0.15	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Chris Webber	87	87	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	1	11	14.3	15.2	-0.87	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Doug Christie	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	14.3	14.6	-0.29	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Vlade Divac	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	13.4	15.5	-2.10	15.7	14.2	1.43
Hedo Turkoglu	78	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	7	-1	14.4	14.2	0.20	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Scot Pollard	32	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	2	9	15.2	14.0	1.16	14.5	15.2	-0.76
Bobby Jackson	44	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	11	-9	15.0	14.0	0.99	15.2	14.8	0.41
Lawrence Funderburke	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	12	-11	15.2	14.3	0.87	15.5	14.9	0.64
Darrick Martin	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	12	-11	15.2	14.3	0.87	15.5	14.9	0.64
Jon Barry	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	16	-19	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.1	14.9	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 68, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 82, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%