NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	5.5 [697]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): +33.1%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	139.8 [6]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (WAS): -20.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.33	0.03	0.31	0.01	17	56%	0.37	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.09
Keyon Dooling	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.16	-0.03	8	57%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.03	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.12	-0.04	10	58%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.05
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	13	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	13	48%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	12	31%	-0.14	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.3	15.4	26.6	1.7	27.2	127.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +54.2%

WAS -5.0%

WAS -9.5%

LAC +11.7%

WAS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	15.5	97.9	92.6	100.9
season	16.1	15.2		99.5	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.2	17.2	16.3	12.7	16.1
WAS	11.8	11.6	14.4	19.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	38	38	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.27	22	-17	39	13.5	17.9	-4.39	16.5	12.6	3.82
Keyon Dooling	34	36	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-9	23	14.1	17.3	-3.14	15.7	13.2	2.48
Eric Piatkowski	49	49	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-14	33	14.8	17.6	-2.81	15.8	12.5	3.26
Sean Rooks	42	44	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.48	11	-6	17	15.2	16.9	-1.70	14.8	13.6	1.19
Lamar Odom	82	83	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-11	27	15.6	19.3	-3.67	14.5	12.1	2.40
Cherokee Parks	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	16.8	16.0	0.80	11.8	14.5	-2.70
Brian Skinner	23	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.18	3	2	1	16.0	16.2	-0.24	14.6	14.0	0.60
Derek Strong	12	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.16	-12	17	-29	20.4	15.5	4.90	11.0	14.6	-3.60
Quentin Richardson	32	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	14	-23	17.2	15.6	1.63	12.6	14.9	-2.26
Michael Olowokandi	40	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	18	-31	18.1	14.7	3.48	12.3	15.5	-3.26
Corey Maggette	50	51	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.10	-15	20	-35	17.7	14.4	3.26	13.4	15.1	-1.74
Jeff McInnis	61	59	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	14	-23	17.3	14.1	3.14	13.2	15.7	-2.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	27	28	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.16	15	-20	35	12.4	14.9	-2.47	19.6	14.7	4.97
Chris Whitney	26	25	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.16	-2	-3	1	13.8	14.3	-0.51	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Calvin Booth	34	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	-3	1	12.5	15.1	-2.57	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Obinna Ekezie	11	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-7	9	15.7	14.0	1.75	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Michael Smith	14	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.19	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.0	1.21	16.1	16.1	-0.08
Tyrone Nesby	71	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.28	2	-7	9	13.9	14.9	-0.99	15.6	17.8	-2.20
Gerard King	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	3	-11	14.2	14.2	0.06	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Felipe Lopez	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.42	-6	1	-7	14.2	14.3	-0.11	16.8	13.3	3.46
Rod Strickland	69	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.52	-3	-2	-1	14.3	13.8	0.51	16.2	16.0	0.19
Richard Hamilton	47	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.3	1.71	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Juwan Howard	68	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	2	-9	14.9	12.3	2.58	16.1	16.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.76,0.37,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,0	90.7%
MEM 103, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.86,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.58,0	90.6%
UTA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0	90.4%