NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	7.8 [262]		MVP	Felipe Lopez (WAS): +3.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.2 [943]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -23.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Gerard King	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	10	55%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Chris Whitney	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	15	41%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Richard Hamilton	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	16	30%	-0.13	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	18	62%	0.12	7	-0.35	6	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	-0.02	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.05
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	61%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	24	52%	-0.03	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	11	42%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	28.8	14.7	26.3	2.8	35.4	138.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -16.7%

PHI +20.5%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +33.4%

PHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	15.5	87.0	93.9	100.9
season	15.2	15.7		98.6	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		97.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	13.7	15.8	12.5	14.4
PHI	13.7	13.5	14.8	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	67	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-17	28	13.5	16.1	-2.58	15.8	12.1	3.70
Calvin Booth	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	15.6	14.3	1.28	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Michael Smith	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.6	14.0	3.63	12.2	14.9	-2.76
Gerard King	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	13.7	14.6	-0.89	12.2	15.4	-3.20
Felipe Lopez	57	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-4	2	15.0	13.6	1.42	15.1	13.9	1.16
Chris Whitney	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	13.4	15.2	-1.85	12.7	16.0	-3.33
Rod Strickland	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-3	0	15.5	13.2	2.23	16.3	12.4	3.91
Mitch Richmond	87	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-7	8	13.8	18.5	-4.77	15.0	11.7	3.29
Juwan Howard	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	2	-10	14.7	12.5	2.22	14.7	13.8	0.91
Richard Hamilton	58	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	14.6	14.2	0.39	13.2	16.4	-3.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	85	86	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	14.4	15.8	-1.43	14.7	12.4	2.28
George Lynch	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	14.3	15.1	-0.73	14.6	13.8	0.80
Theo Ratliff	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	15.0	13.2	1.78	15.1	12.4	2.71
Allen Iverson	83	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	2	2	14.6	14.4	0.14	14.5	14.1	0.39
Aaron McKie	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	6	-6	13.7	15.6	-1.86	13.3	15.8	-2.47
Tyrone Hill	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	8	-10	16.2	10.7	5.48	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Toni Kukoc	22	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	0	6	12.3	15.2	-2.94	14.8	14.3	0.57
Nazr Mohammed	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	5	-4	9.4	14.9	-5.52	16.0	14.2	1.75
Vernon Maxwell	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	10	-14	15.1	14.3	0.73	13.1	15.0	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.64,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	93.0%
NOP 92, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,1	92.7%
LAC 103, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.7%