NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	5.6 [672]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +22.4%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	4.7 [111]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -13.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.09	0.04	10	90%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.03	0.05	8	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.08	-0.04	14	56%	0.15	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.02	0.08	19	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	75%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
Derrick McKey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	19	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	57%	-0.03	3	-0.10	9	56%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	24.5	15.8	27.3	2.7	25.0	117.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.6%

HOU +11.1%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +15.5%

IND -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	16.9	15.5	118.8	106.0	100.9
season	16.3	15.9		104.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	14.9		99.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.1	20.0	13.6	17.7	17.2
IND	17.0	16.8	17.1	16.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	61	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-8	28	16.5	19.0	-2.47	17.0	16.7	0.33
Steve Francis	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-3	18	16.5	22.5	-6.02	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	60	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	1	10	17.0	17.6	-0.53	16.4	17.9	-1.41
Shandon Anderson	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	3	6	15.7	18.8	-3.17	17.1	16.7	0.37
Matt Bullard	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	18.8	15.7	3.17	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Cuttino Mobley	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	11	-10	18.4	15.8	2.53	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Maurice Taylor	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	8	-4	16.2	18.8	-2.66	16.4	17.7	-1.32
Jason Collier	25	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	11	-10	17.6	17.0	0.53	17.9	16.4	1.41
Kenny Thomas	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	20.7	16.6	4.15	19.7	16.4	3.24
Moochie Norris	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	15	-18	22.5	16.5	6.02	16.9	16.9	0.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-13	14	16.7	16.9	-0.21	19.1	16.8	2.34
Derrick McKey	2	2	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	23.0	16.7	6.26	16.0	17.2	-1.22
Bruno Sundov	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-6	0	16.9	16.9	-0.01	13.2	18.3	-5.03
Jonathan Bender	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	18.4	16.5	1.91	17.4	17.1	0.23
Jeff Foster	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-7	2	16.9	16.9	0.02	16.0	17.6	-1.69
Zan Tabak	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-9	6	17.1	16.6	0.53	18.8	15.2	3.53
Travis Best	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	16.7	18.7	-2.05	17.5	14.1	3.32
Al Harrington	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-3	-6	17.9	16.5	1.37	14.4	18.3	-3.92
Jermaine O'Neal	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	16.9	16.9	-0.02	17.6	16.0	1.69
Austin Croshere	61	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	16.6	17.7	-1.05	18.0	14.8	3.20
Reggie Miller	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	2	-16	16.4	21.3	-4.97	16.7	20.9	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.33,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
UTA 87, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.9%
CHI 92, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.12,0.01,0,0	92.3%