NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	73		Excitement	4.1 [961]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): +5.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	2.2 [643]		LVP	Anthony Mason (MIA): -10.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	11	54%	0.09	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Anthony Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	9	64%	0.06	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	18	49%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.4	15.7	32.2	2.5	23.3	125.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.5%

PHI +7.2%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +1.8%

PHI +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.5	82.0	106.8	100.9
season	16.3	15.7		98.4	101.4
opponent	15.5	16.1		97.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.6	17.4	16.9	16.5	16.8
PHI	17.7	16.0	13.7	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	16.8	16.8	-0.07	14.4	15.9	-1.46
Eddie House	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-14	7	15.0	17.7	-2.69	16.7	15.2	1.54
Jamal Robinson	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-11	1	15.7	17.2	-1.49	15.6	15.7	-0.17
A.C. Green	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-11	1	15.8	17.6	-1.77	16.3	15.2	1.10
Anthony Carter	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-7	-7	16.1	18.0	-1.92	15.8	15.6	0.19
Tim Hardaway	50	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-10	-1	18.0	15.4	2.64	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Duane Causwell	45	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-11	1	17.7	16.0	1.71	14.6	16.7	-2.15
Bruce Bowen	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-11	1	17.4	15.7	1.67	15.9	15.3	0.65
Brian Grant	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-7	-7	17.3	15.9	1.35	15.9	15.2	0.68
Anthony Mason	79	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	-6	-9	16.8	16.8	0.05	16.1	13.0	3.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	63	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	5	11	14.5	18.6	-4.06	17.0	16.3	0.76
George Lynch	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	2	17	15.6	15.8	-0.16	17.1	16.2	0.94
Tyrone Hill	66	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	5	11	15.6	16.0	-0.35	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Eric Snow	62	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	3	15	15.2	16.8	-1.64	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Theo Ratliff	56	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	14	-7	16.1	14.9	1.19	17.6	15.5	2.13
Aaron McKie	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	13	-5	16.3	15.2	1.11	16.0	17.6	-1.56
Toni Kukoc	28	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	12	-3	16.6	15.3	1.34	17.3	16.6	0.64
Vernon Maxwell	24	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	18	-15	18.0	14.8	3.11	15.0	17.5	-2.51
Jumaine Jones	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	17	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.81	17.2	16.8	0.36
Nazr Mohammed	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	15.9	15.7	0.18	16.3	16.9	-0.55
Pepe Sanchez	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	15.9	15.7	0.18	16.3	16.9	-0.55
Todd MacCulloch	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	20	-19	14.8	15.8	-1.00	17.9	16.7	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 67, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 83, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%