NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	5.1 [784]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +3.7%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	1.0 [1115]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -11.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	12	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Barkley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	67%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	10	56%	0.01	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	46%	-0.02	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	22	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.02
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	17	49%	-0.03	4	-0.07	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	25.6	15.4	24.5	2.6	32.5	125.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.6%

NJN -3.0%

POR +8.4%

NJN -11.3%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	102.2	87.2	100.9
season	15.8	15.5		103.9	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.0	15.7	16.3	15.4	15.1
NJN	15.8	13.7	17.1	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	57	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	-8	28	15.1	15.0	0.13	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Rasheed Wallace	74	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-3	18	14.8	16.2	-1.45	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Dale Davis	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	15.5	14.3	1.17	16.1	15.6	0.54
Damon Stoudamire	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-2	16	15.1	15.1	-0.01	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Stacey Augmon	28	27	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	8	-4	13.2	15.9	-2.65	17.6	15.2	2.32
Shawn Kemp	48	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	11	-10	15.0	15.2	-0.20	16.2	15.5	0.67
Greg Anthony	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	13	-14	15.4	14.9	0.56	17.3	15.3	2.00
Bonzi Wells	44	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	14	-16	14.6	15.5	-0.84	16.3	15.6	0.70
Steven Smith	55	57	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	16.3	13.2	3.07	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Erick Barkley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.2	15.2	-2.93	11.0	16.1	-5.12
Antonio Harvey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.3	15.0	0.29	9.0	16.1	-7.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	46	45	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-21	30	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.8	14.4	1.42
Kevin Ollie	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	9.0	16.1	-7.13	15.3	15.0	0.29
Aaron Williams	59	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-20	28	16.1	15.6	0.44	15.8	13.9	1.84
Sherman Douglas	18	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-11	10	17.9	15.4	2.52	12.9	15.6	-2.72
Jim McIlvaine	30	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-11	10	16.6	15.6	0.97	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Lucious Harris	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-9	6	16.6	15.4	1.18	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Kendall Gill	65	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	2	-16	15.5	16.7	-1.19	15.2	14.8	0.33
Stephon Marbury	73	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	2	-16	15.7	16.7	-0.98	15.6	13.2	2.40
Evan Eschmeyer	28	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	5	-22	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Kenyon Martin	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	2	-16	15.7	16.7	-0.99	15.2	14.6	0.61
Stephen Jackson	39	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	4	-20	16.3	15.6	0.69	14.5	15.5	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
PHI 106, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
TOR 110, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.1%