NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	77		Excitement	8.9 [109]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +37.3%
Dallas Mavericks	79		Comeback	2.1 [226]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -29.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.34	0.02	0.32	-0.00	8	55%	0.34	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	4	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Steve Kerr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	13	39%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.01	-0.17	-0.01	16	49%	-0.11	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Sean Elliott	-0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	12	46%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.09,-0.29	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	14	30%	-0.04	4	-0.25	2	50%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,0.37	0.37	-0.07	0.44	0.00	20	50%	0.63	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	20	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.07
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	26.0	15.5	25.2	1.8	31.9	128.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.3%

DAL +0.6%

SAS -3.7%

DAL +7.0%

SAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.5	82.8	86.8	100.9
season	15.9	15.2		103.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	15.4	14.4	17.5	15.6
DAL	14.8	14.6	17.0	16.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	13	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-6	10	14.7	15.7	-1.03	16.4	15.6	0.80
Avery Johnson	52	53	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.36	14	-16	30	14.9	16.5	-1.62	16.2	15.1	1.06
David Robinson	69	68	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.0	17.2	-2.19	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Terry Porter	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.54	13.2	16.0	-2.84
Steve Kerr	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	5	-12	17.0	15.0	1.92	14.0	16.4	-2.40
Tim Duncan	72	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.57	11	-13	24	15.8	14.9	0.87	16.8	11.5	5.27
Sean Elliott	70	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-10	18	15.0	17.2	-2.17	16.5	13.6	2.91
Antonio Daniels	41	37	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	13	-28	16.5	14.9	1.62	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Derek Anderson	80	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	0	-2	15.7	15.1	0.59	15.8	15.4	0.36
Malik Rose	32	29	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.34	-18	16	-34	16.7	15.0	1.74	13.8	16.6	-2.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	74	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-6	14	15.2	18.1	-2.94	15.6	15.4	0.25
Christian Laettner	28	30	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	14.8	16.1	-1.36	17.3	14.8	2.49
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	16.4	13.8	2.54	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Michael Finley	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	-1	4	15.5	17.6	-2.11	15.8	14.0	1.79
Greg Buckner	28	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	3	-4	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.2	15.3	0.86
Hubert Davis	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	-5	12	15.3	16.0	-0.71	14.1	16.6	-2.50
Eduardo Najera	21	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	3	-4	14.0	16.2	-2.24	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Howard Eisley	38	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.7	0.11	16.7	14.8	1.87
Shawn Bradley	65	66	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	8	-14	16.2	14.6	1.61	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Courtney Alexander	12	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	14	-26	19.7	15.1	4.64	15.3	15.6	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	91.3%
IND 104, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.58,1	91.0%
SAS 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,1	90.5%