NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	4.3 [935]		MVP	Larry Robinson (ATL): +14.5%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.3 [898]		LVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): -12.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.11	7	57%	0.05	4	-0.03	9	78%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	57%	0.00	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.03	0.05	11	69%	0.02	5	-0.12	7	57%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.23	0.02	0.10	10	105%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	74%	0.06	4	-0.07	9	56%	-0.06
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	10	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.02	-0.07	20	24%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	30%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	31.5	16.8	27.1	2.5	30.5	136.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +31.8%

CHH +15.2%

CHH +4.1%

ATL -3.8%

CHH +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.5	114.0	88.2	100.9
season	15.8	15.4		99.7	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	11.8	15.2	15.8	14.9	14.4
ATL	18.2	16.1	15.5	16.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.28	28	-4	32	14.6	13.6	1.02	16.9	15.4	1.43
David Wesley	67	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.22	25	-1	26	13.9	15.8	-2.00	16.1	18.0	-1.89
Eldridge Recasner	40	38	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	13	-2	13.8	14.9	-1.07	17.1	16.2	0.97
Elden Campbell	63	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.29	21	3	18	12.4	18.5	-6.09	16.2	17.4	-1.19
Jamal Mashburn	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	11	2	13.0	17.5	-4.47	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	12	0	16.4	13.1	3.23	16.4	16.7	-0.35
Baron Davis	68	69	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.21	14	10	4	14.9	13.0	1.93	16.8	15.9	0.87
Otis Thorpe	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	28	-32	16.8	13.3	3.41	16.2	16.7	-0.49
Jamaal Magloire	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	18.4	14.1	4.35	18.2	16.4	1.72
Tim James	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	18.4	14.1	4.35	18.2	16.4	1.72
Hersey Hawkins	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	26	-28	16.8	14.1	2.73	16.2	16.6	-0.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	19.2	16.4	2.79	16.4	14.3	2.10
Hanno Mottola	60	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-21	18	16.5	16.7	-0.17	14.7	13.8	0.92
Roshown McLeod	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-26	28	16.4	16.7	-0.33	15.2	13.5	1.69
Matt Maloney	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-18	12	15.4	16.9	-1.43	14.5	14.4	0.15
DerMarr Johnson	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	-15	6	19.3	16.2	3.07	15.0	14.3	0.66
Larry Robinson	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-21	18	15.9	17.6	-1.68	14.7	14.0	0.72
Anthony Johnson	31	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-16	8	17.0	16.4	0.61	14.5	14.4	0.08
Alan Henderson	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-12	0	15.7	19.3	-3.55	14.8	13.0	1.85
Jason Terry	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	-3	-18	17.4	15.6	1.73	13.7	15.2	-1.60
Jim Jackson	72	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.36	-26	2	-28	16.5	16.7	-0.14	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Chris Crawford	39	39	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.21	-31	7	-38	17.6	15.8	1.73	13.3	15.2	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.9%
DET 108, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
BOS 85, TOR 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%