NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	8.7 [156]		MVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (MIL): +28.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	118		Comeback	3.3 [199]		LVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): -11.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.00	15	71%	0.25	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Dennis Schr�der	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.24	3	-0.12	9	78%	0.03
Keon Ellis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	78%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	16	40%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Thomas Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	89%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Sam Merrill	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.23	-0.01	16	62%	0.36	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.29,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	0.00	13	69%	0.37	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	6	79%	0.22	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.02	0.00	9	79%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.00	14	61%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	0.0	24.2	0.0	25.9	0.0	36.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +98.0%

CLE -33.4%

CLE -4.4%

CLE -14.4%

MIL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	14.2	123.4	125.5	113.3
season	13.5	14.7		116.3	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.6		115.7	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	15.8	17.0	16.9	15.9
MIL	13.9	14.9	15.0	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	75	75	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-4	6	15.7	16.8	-1.11	14.9	13.7	1.25
Thomas Bryant	63	62	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-3	4	15.6	16.5	-0.96	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	41	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.5	17.0	-2.51	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Larry Nance Jr.	15	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Craig Porter Jr.	69	68	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.38	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Sam Merrill	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	16.1	14.1	2.02	14.8	13.6	1.21
Keon Ellis	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.7	17.6	-1.92	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Dennis Schr�der	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	16.1	14.0	2.11	14.8	13.2	1.56
Jarrett Allen	86	85	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	8	-18	16.1	13.6	2.49	14.4	17.4	-3.06
Jaylon Tyson	83	82	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	12	-26	16.4	12.5	3.91	14.5	16.2	-1.70

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	85	85	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-7	16	14.7	14.2	0.51	16.3	12.6	3.70
Ryan Rollins	90	91	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-6	14	14.9	10.2	4.63	16.1	9.3	6.79
Kevin Porter Jr.	91	91	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	14.8	12.3	2.42	16.1	9.3	6.79
Jericho Sims	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.7	0.0	14.68	15.9	0.0	15.90
Kyle Kuzma	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	-2	6	14.5	15.4	-0.93	16.3	14.2	2.12
Bobby Portis	81	81	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.6	17.8	-2.16
Myles Turner	65	67	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	1	0	14.2	15.8	-1.56	16.5	14.5	1.94
Ousmane Dieng	65	65	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	7	-12	14.6	14.8	-0.21	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Cam Thomas	60	62	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	6	-10	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.3	17.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.96,1	92.4%
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,1,1	91.1%
MEM 89, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.85,0.99,1	90.4%