NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	2.8 [1197]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.0 [1123]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -10.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.04	8	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	25	51%	-0.03	7	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
P.J. Washington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	24	55%	0.11	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.02
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	23	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.0	32.5	16.0	27.3	3.7	32.2	140.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +19.0%

BOS +5.2%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +13.1%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	14.5	97.8	116.5	113.9
season	14.3	14.9		115.6	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.6	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	14.1	12.2	15.0	14.3
BOS	14.1	16.6	20.5	19.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	15.7	14.3	1.48	25.0	17.2	7.78
Tim Hardaway Jr.	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-22	23	10.9	15.1	-4.22	18.7	16.8	1.82
Daniel Gafford	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-14	7	15.6	13.8	1.84	16.3	17.5	-1.20
Maxi Kleber	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-9	-3	12.0	15.2	-3.25	16.3	17.6	-1.23
Dante Exum	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-12	3	13.5	14.4	-0.89	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Dereck Lively II	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-15	9	14.9	13.6	1.31	17.5	16.9	0.56
Derrick Jones Jr.	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-13	5	15.6	13.0	2.64	18.0	16.5	1.55
Josh Green	41	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-13	5	13.2	15.2	-2.00	17.2	17.2	-0.06
Kyrie Irving	76	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-10	-1	14.8	9.9	4.94	17.8	11.8	6.06
Luka Doncic	83	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	-2	-17	14.0	21.0	-6.98	17.0	22.7	-5.64
P.J. Washington	67	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.26	-26	5	-31	14.7	12.7	2.03	16.6	19.5	-2.95

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	81	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-3	24	17.4	18.9	-1.49	14.5	11.9	2.62
Jaylen Brown	84	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-2	22	17.5	17.7	-0.13	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Al Horford	60	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-2	22	17.7	17.2	0.47	14.3	14.2	0.04
Jayson Tatum	86	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	0	18	17.5	19.5	-2.05	14.3	13.2	1.06
Derrick White	73	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	17	-16	17.8	16.4	1.40	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Sam Hauser	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	15	-12	18.2	17.2	1.09	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Kristaps Porzingis	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	10	-2	15.9	18.4	-2.47	15.0	13.9	1.14
Payton Pritchard	2	2	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	17	-16	12.5	17.7	-5.16	7.0	14.4	-7.43
Luke Kornet	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	32.0	17.2	14.78	13.0	14.3	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
HOU 83, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
POR 86, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%