NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	4.9 [837]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +21.8%
Indiana Pacers	125		Comeback	1.4 [835]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): -9.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	18	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	75%	0.12	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.10	7	86%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Pacome Dadiet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	19	46%	-0.07	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	18	66%	0.25	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	85%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	0.10	17	60%	-0.00	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	37.5	15.8	34.5	3.3	30.3	149.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.8%

IND +4.0%

NYK -15.9%

IND +18.6%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	13.1	14.4	109.1	127.6	113.1
season	15.3	13.9		116.0	115.4
opponent	14.7	14.2		113.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	18.6	14.6	15.2	16.2
IND	12.8	12.7	13.1	13.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pacome Dadiet	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	11.7	16.3	-4.63	17.0	12.9	4.10
Delon Wright	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-18	15	14.3	17.0	-2.67	15.2	12.2	3.06
Landry Shamet	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-16	11	16.5	16.2	0.32	13.0	12.9	0.14
Josh Hart	45	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-16	11	15.0	17.4	-2.35	15.2	11.0	4.21
Miles McBride	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-14	7	13.1	17.4	-4.28	14.9	12.2	2.70
OG Anunoby	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-6	-9	16.6	14.9	1.74	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Mikal Bridges	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	-4	-13	16.8	15.1	1.67	12.1	14.9	-2.73
Mitchell Robinson	62	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-3	-15	16.8	15.4	1.45	12.5	13.6	-1.15
Jalen Brunson	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-3	-15	17.0	14.3	2.67	12.2	15.2	-3.06
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	-4	-13	16.7	14.2	2.50	12.3	16.6	-4.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.12	25	-5	30	13.1	12.5	0.60	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Andrew Nembhard	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-5	30	12.0	17.1	-5.04	16.9	13.2	3.75
Tyrese Haliburton	75	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.28	24	-4	28	12.2	15.9	-3.70	16.3	15.9	0.36
Aaron Nesmith	38	40	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	7	6	12.3	13.4	-1.11	17.5	15.3	2.27
Myles Turner	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	9	2	12.0	13.8	-1.87	17.5	15.1	2.35
Thomas Bryant	24	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	10	0	13.7	12.8	0.99	16.1	16.2	-0.09
Ben Sheppard	38	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	13	-6	15.3	11.5	3.77	15.7	16.5	-0.86
T.J. McConnell	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	21	-22	15.7	12.1	3.66	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Jarace Walker	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	19	-18	12.1	13.2	-1.18	13.1	16.8	-3.78
Obi Toppin	51	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	26	-32	13.3	12.6	0.69	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Bennedict Mathurin	17	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	29	-38	14.5	12.7	1.85	14.3	16.5	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 72, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	95.6%
GSW 88, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%