NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	112		Excitement	9.3 [16]		MVP	Jose Alvarado (NOP): +55.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	24.1 [8]		LVP	Sion James (CHA): -23.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ Simpson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tre Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	69%	0.27	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kon Knueppel	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	16	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabat�	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.02,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	19	49%	0.02	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Liam McNeeley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	14	53%	0.02	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Sion James	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.24	4	75%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.56	0.56	0.14	0.42	-0.00	11	82%	0.59	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.00	9	77%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	16	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.03	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,-0.02,-0.16	-0.16	0.03	-0.18	0.00	7	71%	0.14	3	-0.29	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	14	34%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.6	31.0	0.0	28.1	0.0	34.2	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.0	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +34.6%

CHA -3.8%

NOP +26.0%

CHA -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	13.7	109.8	112.6	110.8
season	13.6	14.3		113.0	103.3
opponent	13.5	13.6		118.6	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.6	13.8	13.4	13.8	13.6
NOP	13.5	13.4	16.6	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Mann	99	100	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.32	2	-6	8	13.9	4.7	9.24	14.8	3.0	11.78
Ryan Kalkbrenner	82	85	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.17	3	-7	10	14.1	11.8	2.29	14.7	13.2	1.54
Collin Sexton	84	85	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.21	-4	0	-4	14.2	11.1	3.07	14.9	12.3	2.55
Liam McNeeley	84	86	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-2	0	13.9	12.3	1.58	15.2	10.8	4.40
Moussa Diabat�	71	72	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.15	-5	1	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.24	15.7	11.6	4.09
KJ Simpson	65	65	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-2	0	12.9	14.9	-1.93	15.4	12.7	2.69
Pat Connaughton	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	14.0	13.5	0.41	14.7	14.4	0.28
Kon Knueppel	90	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-6	8	13.4	15.4	-2.02	15.3	9.1	6.13
Miles Bridges	102	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.6	0.0	13.64	14.4	0.0	14.44
Sion James	86	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	-3	2	13.3	15.7	-2.43	15.0	11.5	3.48

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derik Queen	39	39	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-9	22	14.0	14.7	-0.74	13.7	13.6	0.05
Jose Alvarado	89	90	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-4	12	14.6	13.7	0.84	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Trey Murphy III	89	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	0	4	15.1	9.9	5.22	13.2	17.1	-3.91
Saddiq Bey	101	102	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	14.7	0.5	14.21	13.6	0.0	13.64
Herbert Jones	103	100	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	14.4	0.0	14.44	13.9	0.0	13.91
Jordan Poole	86	87	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	0	4	15.2	10.5	4.68	14.0	11.6	2.39
Jordan Hawkins	68	68	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.10	0	4	-4	15.3	12.7	2.57	14.0	12.9	1.04
Karlo Matkovi?	50	51	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.04	-5	9	-14	15.0	13.9	1.09	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Jeremiah Fears	51	50	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.02	-14	18	-32	15.1	13.8	1.27	13.1	14.1	-0.98
Kevon Looney	47	45	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.11	-19	23	-42	15.2	13.8	1.47	12.9	14.2	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.04,0.32,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	90.6%
SEA 80, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.16,1	90.4%
ORL 94, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.09,1	90.0%