WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	55		Excitement	1.6 [183]		MVP	Kiah Stokes (GSV): +20.9%
Golden State Valkyries	64		Comeback	1.1 [256]		LVP	Jordin Canada (ATL): -16.7%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.15	0.03	15	59%	0.25	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Te-Hina Paopao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Madina Okot	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	40%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Angel Reese	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	35%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isobel Borlase	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jordin Canada	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.04	16	36%	-0.10	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03

Golden State Valkyries
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.15	0.00	6	108%	0.28	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	10	55%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Veronica Burton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.08	-0.04	15	39%	0.10	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.02	0.06	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaitlyn Chen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kaila Charles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSV	WNBA	ATL	GSV	WNBA
this game	15.6	19.8	15.2	78.6	97.0	109.1
season	14.8	17.3		110.2	109.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	17.1	19.7	12.6	15.6
GSV	16.6	20.4	20.4	22.5	19.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	11%	80%	9%	0.0%	42.9%	28.8%	16.7%	0.0%
GSV	8%	82%	10%	0.0%	40.0%	36.0%	66.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	2	50%	10	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Te-Hina Paopao	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Madina Okot	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	10	40%	2	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	0	0%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Isobel Borlase	1	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	4	50%	12	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	7	43%	52	29%	6	17%	0	0%

Golden State Valkyries
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	2	50%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	1	0%	12	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	1	100%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaitlyn Chen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	1	0%	11	18%	2	50%	0	0%
Valkyries	5	40%	50	36%	6	67%	0	0%