WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	85		Excitement	1.7 [142]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +46.5%
Dallas Wings	91		Comeback	2.3 [96]		LVP	Caitlin Clark (IND): -11.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46	0.22	0.29	0.05	18	73%	0.48	1	-0.01	15	100%	0.11
Lexie Hull	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Makayla Timpson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.03	7	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.05	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Monique Billings	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	-0.12	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	15	32%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.23	0.00	22	63%	0.50	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.25	0.20	0.11	16	65%	0.36	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08
Awak Kuier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paige Bueckers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	16	36%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Maddy Siegrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	WNBA	IND	DAL	WNBA
this game	15.0	17.3	15.1	107.6	130.0	109.4
season	14.6	15.6		117.8	112.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		108.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.7	20.9	17.3	10.6	15.0
DAL	15.9	18.6	18.1	17.4	17.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	14%	78%	8%	0.0%	44.4%	41.2%	40.0%	0.0%
DAL	10%	81%	10%	0.0%	14.3%	50.0%	57.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	4	25%	12	58%	2	50%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	0	0%	6	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	2	100%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	1	100%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	1	0%	13	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	9	44%	51	41%	5	40%	0	0%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	2	50%	16	56%	4	50%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	1	0%	15	73%	0	0%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	1	0%	6	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Paige Bueckers	2	0%	12	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	7	14%	58	50%	7	57%	0	0%