WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	59		Excitement	3.9 [31]		MVP	Zia Cooke (SEA): +19.6%
Seattle Storm	77		Comeback	2.6 [20]		LVP	Saniya Rivers (CON): -10.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diamond Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.06	6	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	8	87%	-0.01
Nell Angloma	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aneesah Morrow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Raegan Beers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hailey Van Lith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gianna Kneepkens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashlon Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaliyah Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlisse Leger-Walker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kennedy Burke	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Saniya Rivers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.09	0.07	14	66%	0.23	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Flau'jae Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	12	71%	0.13	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	83%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jade Melbourne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Lexie Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mackenzie Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	2	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Joyner Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	SEA	WNBA	CON	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.0	76.6	106.9	107.6
season	15.1	15.3		92.0	104.2
opponent	15.4	14.4		101.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	12.9	18.9	18.3	17.1	16.7
SEA	15.0	13.7	15.9	18.4	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	11%	89%	0%	0.0%	57.1%	34.5%	0.0%	0.0%
SEA	20%	80%	0%	0.0%	41.7%	47.9%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diamond Miller	1	100%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Nell Angloma	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aneesah Morrow	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Raegan Beers	1	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Hailey Van Lith	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Gianna Kneepkens	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashlon Jackson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	2	50%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Charlisse Leger-Walker	1	100%	8	12%	0	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Saniya Rivers	2	50%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	7	57%	55	35%	0	0%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Zia Cooke	4	50%	10	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Flau'jae Johnson	2	50%	10	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	3	33%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	1	100%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Mackenzie Holmes	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	1	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	12	42%	48	48%	0	0%	0	0%