WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	99		Excitement	6.3 [83]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +74.6%
Connecticut Sun	93		Comeback	73.1 [4]		LVP	Damiris Dantas (IND): -7.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.75	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.75	0.30	0.52	0.07	22	68%	0.78	3	-0.04	12	92%	0.06
Aliyah Boston	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.02	0.22	0.01	13	54%	0.26	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	13	60%	0.18	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Odyssey Sims	0.12	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	13	54%	0.20	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.10
Lexie Hull	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Makayla Timpson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chloe Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.21	-0.02	18	51%	0.32	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.04
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.01	21	60%	0.27	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Saniya Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.10	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Le�la Lacan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aneesah Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Aaliyah Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CON	WNBA	IND	CON	WNBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.9	108.8	103.3	101.7
season	14.7	15.1		104.2	93.8
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	16.5	13.9	12.4	14.4
CON	13.1	12.8	16.1	18.8	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	15%	69%	13%	2.6%	70.8%	38.9%	80.0%	100.0%
CON	22%	67%	7%	4.1%	53.1%	56.1%	50.0%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	8	81%	8	12%	6	100%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	1	100%	9	44%	1	0%	2	100%
Natasha Howard	3	33%	9	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	11	45%	2	50%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Chloe Bibby	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	12	71%	54	39%	10	80%	2	100%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	4	37%	12	50%	1	0%	1	100%
Marina Mabrey	4	62%	13	62%	3	50%	1	0%
Saniya Rivers	2	75%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Le�la Lacan	0	0%	4	62%	1	100%	1	0%
Aneesah Morrow	2	50%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	3	67%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	16	53%	49	56%	5	50%	3	33%