WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	86		Excitement	4.6 [144]		MVP	Sonia Citron (WAS): +28.1%
Washington Mystics	95		Comeback	1.0 [108]		LVP	Julie Vanloo (LAS): -7.0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dearica Hamby	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.22	0.05	0.02	17	70%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Rae Burrell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelsey Plum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.19	-0.01	0.08	15	74%	0.18	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Rickea Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.03	-0.00	17	47%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julie Allemand	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Brink	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sonia Citron	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.26	0.04	0.01	16	73%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	7	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kiki Iriafen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.00
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Madison Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucy Olsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	WAS	WNBA	LAS	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.8	16.0	14.9	113.2	118.8	101.7
season	14.4	14.9		105.1	98.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		101.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	16.2	14.4	14.1	14.4	14.8
WAS	16.1	14.8	15.8	17.2	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	9%	86%	6%	0.0%	41.7%	59.2%	25.0%	0.0%
WAS	5%	92%	3%	0.0%	66.7%	67.6%	100.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	16	72%	1	100%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	3	83%	12	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Rickea Jackson	2	0%	14	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	1	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Cameron Brink	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	6	42%	60	59%	4	25%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sonia Citron	1	100%	14	68%	1	100%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	6	58%	1	100%	0	0%
Kiki Iriafen	1	100%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	7	86%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	4	87%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Madison Scott	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lucy Olsen	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	3	67%	54	68%	2	100%	0	0%