WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	71		Excitement	3.6 [207]		MVP	Marina Mabrey (CON): +13.9%
Las Vegas Aces	84		Comeback	1.2 [169]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -9.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marina Mabrey	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.05	0.06	10	69%	0.14	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Brionna Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	12	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	-0.02	0.08	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Veronica Burton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	13	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.02	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.06	25	53%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Jackie Young	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	46%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	LVA	WNBA	CON	LVA	WNBA
this game	16.0	16.4	14.8	95.9	113.5	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		101.9	104.9
opponent	14.7	15.2		98.8	94.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.2	14.9	18.3	15.8	16.0
LVA	14.0	15.9	17.0	19.5	16.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	31%	69%	0%	0.0%	60.0%	40.9%	0.0%	0.0%
LVA	34%	66%	0%	0.0%	43.7%	64.1%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Marina Mabrey	6	83%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	3	33%	9	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	2	150%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	3	0%	10	30%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	2	50%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	3	67%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	20	60%	44	41%	0	0%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Plum	3	83%	5	90%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	1	0%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	11	45%	14	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	2	0%	9	72%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	5	30%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	1	150%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	24	44%	46	64%	0	0%	0	0%