WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	97		Excitement	14.1 [1]		MVP	Brittney Griner (PHO): +69.6%
Dallas Wings	90		Comeback	5.7 [45]		LVP	Jacy Sheldon (DAL): -13.6%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0.70	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7	0.21	0.48	-0.01	16	69%	0.77	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.10
Kahleah Copper	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.03	22	56%	0.58	6	-0.43	8	87%	0.01
Sophie Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	33%	0.00
Natasha Mack	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	1	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Rebecca Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sug Sutton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.23	6	-0.33	2	100%	0.04
Diana Taurasi	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.15	-0.01	21	45%	0.14	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Teaira McCowan	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.15	-0.02	14	62%	0.49	6	-0.30	4	50%	-0.10
Kalani Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Maddy Siegrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	13	44%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sevgi Uzun	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.12	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.29	5	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Soares	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	27	42%	0.11	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.07
Jacy Sheldon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	3	67%	0.09	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	DAL	WNBA	PHO	DAL	WNBA
this game	15.3	16.1	14.8	101.0	94.7	100.5
season	14.8	14.6		101.2	101.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		110.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.2	17.0	14.1	14.3	15.2
DAL	13.1	18.3	20.0	13.8	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	2%	56%	32%	8.7%	75.0%	46.7%	55.8%	64.3%
DAL	1%	56%	29%	12.8%	0.0%	52.3%	54.3%	45.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	11	73%	3	33%	2	100%
Kahleah Copper	2	75%	10	35%	9	50%	1	150%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	3	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	25%	2	75%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	9	44%	8	50%	4	25%
Mercury	2	75%	45	47%	26	56%	7	64%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	11	55%	2	100%	1	100%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	2	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	8	37%	5	50%	0	0%
Sevgi Uzun	0	0%	4	87%	5	30%	1	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	2	50%
Stephanie Soares	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	1	0%	14	39%	6	42%	6	42%
Jacy Sheldon	0	0%	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Wings	1	0%	44	52%	23	54%	10	45%