WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	80		Excitement	6.7 [71]		MVP	Brittney Sykes (WAS): +34.9%
Washington Mystics	75		Comeback	1.3 [73]		LVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): -11.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.09	0.15	-0.01	12	55%	0.32	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.07
Rhyne Howard	0.08	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	20	45%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.11
Monique Billings	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Naz Hillmon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Haley Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	19	42%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danielle Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.18,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.35	0.35	0.19	0.15	-0.01	24	56%	0.38	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	39%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Li Meng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Queen Egbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	WNBA	ATL	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.4	14.8	14.8	100.0	94.9	101.2
season	14.4	14.9		98.6	99.1
opponent	14.6	14.4		99.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	15.2	14.4	17.3	15.4
WAS	14.5	14.1	17.2	13.4	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	3%	85%	12%	0.0%	50.0%	37.5%	75.0%	0.0%
WAS	3%	80%	14%	2.9%	75.0%	46.4%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	12%	4	100%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	18	36%	2	100%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	2	50%	16	41%	1	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	2	50%	56	37%	8	75%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	1	0%	18	53%	4	100%	1	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	1	150%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	12	29%	1	100%	1	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Li Meng	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Mystics	2	75%	56	46%	10	50%	2	0%