WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	94		Excitement	10.1 [6]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (NYL): +79.8%
Dallas Wings	93		Comeback	2.8 [95]		LVP	Marine Johann�s (NYL): -8.0%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.80	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.8	0.39	0.41	0.00	25	63%	0.80	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.06
Courtney Vandersloot	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	-0.00	13	62%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	61%	0.32	5	-0.21	6	100%	0.07
Stefanie Dolson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Sabrina Ionescu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marine Johann�s	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Teaira McCowan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.24,0.16,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.17	0.00	8	61%	0.27	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.07
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.02	12	58%	0.21	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Awak Kuier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	14	37%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Satou Sabally	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.01	0.01	0.15	-0.17	-0.03	19	63%	0.12	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Veronica Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	DAL	WNBA	NYL	DAL	WNBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.8	114.6	113.4	101.2
season	14.4	14.4		108.8	105.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		102.3	97.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.4	15.3	14.0	15.6	14.8
DAL	12.7	14.0	16.0	15.1	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	72%	25%	2.8%	0.0%	54.8%	52.8%	0.0%
DAL	0%	68%	28%	3.9%	0.0%	53.8%	47.6%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	15	60%	9	72%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	12	58%	1	100%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	12	67%	2	0%	1	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	1	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Marine Johann�s	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	52	55%	18	53%	2	0%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	3	33%	3	100%	2	50%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	11	55%	1	100%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	10	65%	5	20%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	9	22%	5	40%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	12	71%	6	50%	1	0%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	52	54%	21	48%	3	33%