WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	90		Excitement	8.1 [26]		MVP	Elizabeth Williams (CHI): +29.6%
Seattle Storm	85		Comeback	13.2 [17]		LVP	Courtney Williams (CHI): -16.9%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elizabeth Williams	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3	0.19	0.13	0.03	15	68%	0.36	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Marina Mabrey	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.00	-0.01	8	89%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dana Evans	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kahleah Copper	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.13,0.12	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	18	38%	0.14	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.01
Robyn Parks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruthy Hebard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Bertsch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	14	68%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joyner Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	50%	0.19	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	1	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.14	-0.00	8	65%	0.10	4	-0.22	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	8	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.22	-0.01	18	44%	-0.15	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	WNBA	CHI	SEA	WNBA
this game	13.0	14.4	14.8	103.4	96.6	101.2
season	14.9	14.7		99.3	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		101.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.3	12.3	15.3	12.1	13.0
SEA	13.6	15.1	13.4	15.7	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	51.8%	41.7%	0.0%
SEA	0%	79%	15%	5.6%	0.0%	52.6%	45.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	12	67%	3	67%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	7	107%	1	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	5	80%	4	25%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	11	9%	7	50%	0	0%
Robyn Parks	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Morgan Bertsch	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	7	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	55	52%	18	42%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	11	59%	3	100%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	3	117%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	12	42%	2	100%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	7	71%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	5	40%	2	0%	1	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	12	50%	3	0%	3	0%
Storm	0	0%	57	53%	11	45%	4	0%