WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	86		Excitement	7.6 [44]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +27.5%
Minnesota Lynx	91		Comeback	1.8 [49]		LVP	Natasha Howard (DAL): -11.6%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	21	48%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Veronica Burton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.04	0.08	0.04	2	57%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.06
Crystal Dangerfield	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	17	54%	0.17	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Awak Kuier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Teaira McCowan	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	6	62%	0.06	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01
Natasha Howard	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	16	47%	0.07	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.09	0.04	16	72%	0.35	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.07	-0.01	8	87%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.01	15	60%	0.37	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.05
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dorka Juh�sz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	WNBA	DAL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.8	102.4	109.6	101.2
season	14.4	14.6		105.9	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.7		105.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	13.5	14.6	13.4	14.2
MIN	13.7	15.7	14.0	14.5	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	8%	78%	13%	1.3%	50.0%	49.2%	45.0%	0.0%
MIN	7%	80%	13%	0.0%	40.0%	55.4%	72.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	3	33%	12	50%	5	60%	1	0%
Veronica Burton	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	1	0%	12	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	14	46%	3	50%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	15	47%	1	0%	0	0%
Wings	6	50%	60	49%	10	45%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	13	81%	3	33%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	1	0%	4	100%	3	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	0%	12	58%	2	50%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	1	100%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	2	50%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juh�sz	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	5	40%	56	55%	9	72%	0	0%