WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	78		Excitement	6.8 [65]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +20.5%
Las Vegas Aces	72		Comeback	1.4 [15]		LVP	Azur� Stevens (LAS): -13.4%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	11	70%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Layshia Clarendon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	9	81%	0.35	5	-0.16	9	100%	0.05
Jordin Canada	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	15	65%	0.20	5	-0.13	1	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Zia Cooke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evina Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karlie Samuelson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	-0.13	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	11	36%	-0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.02	12	40%	0.14	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.03	9	55%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cayla George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Kierstan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.12	-0.20	0.02	21	53%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	LVA	WNBA	LAS	LVA	WNBA
this game	15.0	14.0	14.8	96.3	85.7	101.2
season	15.2	14.1		96.9	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.4		95.8	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	13.8	15.1	15.9	15.5	15.0
LVA	13.3	12.1	17.5	13.8	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	2%	79%	19%	0.0%	0.0%	64.3%	40.0%	0.0%
LVA	3%	77%	16%	4.0%	100.0%	41.4%	41.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	7	57%	4	75%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	8	81%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	13	77%	2	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	1	0%	2	125%	1	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	0%	42	64%	10	40%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	19%	4	75%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	1	100%	8	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	10	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	4	0%	2	50%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	1	100%	15	53%	2	50%	3	0%
Aces	2	100%	58	41%	12	42%	3	0%