WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	71		Excitement	8.1 [27]		MVP	Emma Cannon (IND): +27.2%
Indiana Fever	72		Comeback	2.2 [98]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -17.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sug Sutton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0	0.23	-0.22	0.01	16	81%	0.17	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Kadi Sissoko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.12	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Megan Gustafson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.07,0,-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.00	15	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Michaela Onyenwere	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	9	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shey Peddy	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13	0.05	-0.14	0.03	8	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.13	-0.04	17	59%	0.33	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	13	57%	0.27	3	-0.13	11	91%	0.04
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victaria Saxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	15	43%	0.01	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	IND	WNBA	PHO	IND	WNBA
this game	13.3	16.2	14.8	86.6	88.9	101.2
season	15.6	15.1		96.4	99.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	12.1	13.2	12.9	15.4	13.3
IND	12.3	17.6	18.7	17.0	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	80%	12%	7.8%	0.0%	49.0%	43.7%	20.0%
IND	2%	81%	14%	3.2%	0.0%	45.1%	33.3%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	4	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	13	96%	1	0%	2	0%
Kadi Sissoko	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	7	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	11	55%	3	33%	1	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	9	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	5	40%	2	75%	1	0%
Mercury	0	0%	51	49%	8	44%	5	20%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	15	53%	0	0%	2	50%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	0%	10	45%	2	50%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victaria Saxton	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	10	45%	5	40%	0	0%
Fever	1	0%	51	45%	9	33%	2	50%