WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	87		Excitement	8.2 [22]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +32.3%
Connecticut Sun	83		Comeback	1.3 [35]		LVP	DiJonai Carrington (CON): -14.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.32,0.32	0.20	0.13	0.00	10	86%	0.43	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.05
Jessica Shepard	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.11	0.07	-0.03	7	71%	0.26	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Lindsay Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	8	73%	0.30	3	-0.17	6	67%	0.01
Aerial Powers	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	82%	0.21	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Dorka Juhász	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.12	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.02
Bridget Carleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Nikolina Milic	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12	0.12	0.21	-0.09	0.00	22	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.04	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	-0.05	16	45%	0.20	6	-0.24	6	83%	0.04
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	12	39%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CON	WNBA	MIN	CON	WNBA
this game	13.4	15.5	14.8	103.6	101.2	101.2
season	14.6	15.2		98.2	102.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		97.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.4	13.1	14.6	13.7	13.4
CON	15.6	16.9	17.0	12.9	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	75%	23%	1.6%	0.0%	64.1%	53.6%	100.0%
CON	0%	75%	22%	2.8%	0.0%	39.8%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	5	110%	4	62%	1	100%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	5	60%	2	100%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	6	83%	2	50%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	7	93%	1	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	8	56%	2	50%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	5	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	46	64%	14	54%	1	100%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	15	57%	6	42%	1	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	6	33%	2	75%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	13	31%	3	67%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	6	33%	5	40%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	54	40%	16	50%	2	0%